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The integrated impacts of human activities and rising sea level on the saltwater intrusion in the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Yujun Deng

    (University of Florida)

  • Caitlin Young

    (University of Florida)

  • Xinyu Fu

    (University of Florida)

  • Jie Song

    (University of Florida)

  • Zhong-Ren Peng

    (University of Florida)

Abstract

Saltwater intrusion is a major hazard to coastal communities as it causes degradation of fresh water resources. The impact of rising sea level on the saltwater intrusion into coastal aquifers has been studied for decades, but how human activities affect the extent of saltwater intrusion is poorly understood. Human activities are known to influence groundwater availability indirectly by affecting precipitation patterns and directly by extracting groundwater and reducing recharge. In this paper the authors investigated the integrated impacts of human activities and rising sea level on aquifer recharge in Quintana Roo, Mexico, by incorporating anthropogenic impacts on groundwater recharge into an analytical saltwater intrusion model. The impact of human activities on groundwater extraction was firstly calculated; then, the resulting groundwater recharge was used in a Ghyben–Herzberg analytical model to determine the inland distance of saltwater intrusion. The analytical model tested six scenarios stemming from different combinations of human development patterns, hydrological settings, hydraulic conditions and rising sea level to obtain the range of possible inland movement of saltwater intrusion. Our results indicate that the groundwater recharge will decrease to 32.6 mm year−1 if human activities increase by 50 % more. With 1-m sea level rise, inland saltwater intrusion distance is estimated to be up to 150 and 1 km under head-controlled and flux-controlled scenarios, respectively. A sensitivity analysis of the model reveals that the large hydraulic conductivity of the Quintana Roo aquifer (0.26–68.8 m s−1) is the most important factor in determining saltwater intrusion distance. Therefore, in this aquifer, the response to human activities is greatly exceeded by natural hydrogeological conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yujun Deng & Caitlin Young & Xinyu Fu & Jie Song & Zhong-Ren Peng, 2017. "The integrated impacts of human activities and rising sea level on the saltwater intrusion in the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(2), pages 1063-1088, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:85:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2621-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2621-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Seung-Ki Min & Xuebin Zhang & Francis W. Zwiers & Gabriele C. Hegerl, 2011. "Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes," Nature, Nature, vol. 470(7334), pages 378-381, February.
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    3. Jialiang Cai & Thomas Taute & Michael Schneider, 2015. "Recommendations of Controlling Saltwater Intrusion in an Inland Aquifer for Drinking-Water Supply at a Certain Waterworks Site in Berlin (Germany)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2221-2232, May.
    4. Shan-Zhong Qi & Qiu-Lan Qiu, 2011. "Environmental hazard from saltwater intrusion in the Laizhou Gulf, Shandong Province of China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 56(3), pages 563-566, March.
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    1. Barrios Ramos, Iris & Espinoza Tenorio, Alejandro & Mesa Jurado, M. Azahara & Tovilla Hernández, Cristian & Mendoza Carranza, Manuel, 2021. "Percepción social de la salinización del agua para uso doméstico en Puerto Madero, Chiapas, México," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 21(01), June.

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