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Anomalous atmospheric events leading to Kyushu’s flash floods, July 11–14, 2012

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  • Weili Duan
  • Bin He
  • Kaoru Takara
  • Pingping Luo
  • Daniel Nover
  • Yosuke Yamashiki
  • Wenrui Huang

Abstract

During July 11–14, 2012, deadly floods and landslides triggered by a series of unprecedented heavy rains hit Kyushu, Japan, causing at least 32 deaths and around 400,000 evacuations. We focus on synoptic anomalies identified after inspecting rainfall patterns and documenting the conditions associated with this tragic event using data combined from the Global Rainfall Map in Near Real Time data, the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis dataset, and the global forecast system. Rainfall maps indicated that there were many heavy rains in Kyushu in these days and this disaster was associated with the pattern of forecasts and standardized anomalies. A weather trough with positive height anomalies appeared, the center of which moved to the north of Japan over this period, which might cause wind anomalies and whereby lots of water vapor were transported to Kyushu area with up to 90 m s −1 , and high values of precipitable water formed with up to 60 mm. These results suggest that a larger-scale pattern is conducive for heavy rainfall and the anomalies put the pattern in context as to the potential for an extreme rainfall event, which can provide insights and methods for predicting extreme events’ or something similar. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Weili Duan & Bin He & Kaoru Takara & Pingping Luo & Daniel Nover & Yosuke Yamashiki & Wenrui Huang, 2014. "Anomalous atmospheric events leading to Kyushu’s flash floods, July 11–14, 2012," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1255-1267, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:73:y:2014:i:3:p:1255-1267
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1134-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Scott Curtis & Thomas Crawford & Scott Lecce, 2007. "A comparison of TRMM to other basin-scale estimates of rainfall during the 1999 Hurricane Floyd flood," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 43(2), pages 187-198, November.
    2. Peter Robinson, 2003. "Atmospheric Circulation and Inland Flooding in Twentieth Century North Carolina, USA: Implications for Climate Change Impacts?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 155-172, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Linyong Wei & Shanhu Jiang & Liliang Ren, 2020. "Evaluation and comparison of three long-term gauge-based precipitation products for drought monitoring over mainland China from 1961 to 2016," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1371-1387, November.
    2. Mingcheng Du & Jianyun Zhang & Qinli Yang & Zhenlong Wang & Zhenxin Bao & Yanli Liu & Junliang Jin & Cuishan Liu & Guoqing Wang, 2021. "Spatial and temporal variation of rainfall extremes for the North Anhui Province Plain of China over 1976–2018," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2777-2797, February.
    3. Mohammad Shehata & Hideki Mizunaga, 2019. "Geospatial analysis of surface hydrological parameters for Kyushu Island, Japan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(1), pages 33-52, March.
    4. Ning Jiang & Weihong Qian & Jun Du & Richard H. Grumm & Jiaolan Fu, 2016. "A comprehensive approach from the raw and normalized anomalies to the analysis and prediction of the Beijing extreme rainfall on July 21, 2012," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1551-1567, December.
    5. George Darko & Shuoben Bi & Isaac Sarfo & Solomon Obiri Yeboah Amankwah & Folorunso Ewumi Azeez & Emmanuel Yeboah & Collins Oduro & Emmanuel Adu Gyamfi Kedjanyi & Bright Archer & Andrews Awuah, 2022. "Impacts of climate hazards on coastal livelihoods in Ghana: the case of Ningo-Prampram in the Greater Accra region," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1445-1474, January.
    6. Weili Duan & Bin He & Daniel Nover & Jingli Fan & Guishan Yang & Wen Chen & Huifang Meng & Chuanming Liu, 2016. "Floods and associated socioeconomic damages in China over the last century," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 401-413, May.

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