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Applicability of different ground-motion prediction models for northern Iran

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  • H. Zafarani
  • M. Mousavi

Abstract

A total of 163 free-field acceleration time histories recorded at epicentral distances of up to 200 km from 32 earthquakes with moment magnitudes ranging from M w 4.9 to 7.4 have been used to investigate the predictive capabilities of the local, regional, and next generation attenuation (NGA) ground-motion prediction equations and determine their applicability for northern Iran. Two different statistical approaches, namely the likelihood method (LH) of Scherbaum et al. (Bull Seismol Soc Am 94:341–348, 2004 ) and the average log-likelihood method (LLH) of Scherbaum et al. (Bull Seismol Soc Am 99:3234–3247, 2009 ), have been applied for evaluation of these models. The best-fitting models (considering both the LH and LLH results) over the entire frequency range of interest are those of Ghasemi et al. (Seismol 13:499–515, 2009a ) and Soghrat et al. (Geophys J Int 188:645–679, 2012 ) among the local models, Abrahamson and Silva (Earthq Spectra 24:67–97, 2008 ) and Chiou and Youngs (Earthq Spectra 24:173–215, 2008 ) among the NGA models, and finally Akkar and Bommer (Seism Res Lett 81:195–206, 2010 ) among the regional models. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • H. Zafarani & M. Mousavi, 2014. "Applicability of different ground-motion prediction models for northern Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1199-1228, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:73:y:2014:i:3:p:1199-1228
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1151-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Salma Ommi & Milad Janalipour, 2022. "Selection of shelters after earthquake using probabilistic seismic aftershock hazard analysis and remote sensing," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 345-363, August.
    2. Erfan Firuzi & Kambod Amini Hosseini & Anooshiravan Ansari & Yasamin O. Izadkhah & Mina Rashidabadi & Mohammad Hosseini, 2020. "An empirical model for fatality estimation of earthquakes in Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(1), pages 231-250, August.

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