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The role of natural ecosystems and socio-economic factors in the vulnerability of coastal villages to cyclone and storm surge

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  • Saudamini Das

Abstract

Vulnerability assessment due to tropical storms has been attempted for larger spatial units, and the roles played by natural ecosystems like mangroves or hydrological variables like proximity to rivers or various socio-economic factors determining economic well-being are rarely taken into account. During cyclones, evacuation and relief works are undertaken at the village level, and thus, knowledge of relative vulnerability of the coastal villages is important to the policy makers. The paper studies 262 villages lying within a 10 km of the coast in one of the most cyclone prone districts of India and estimates the probability of expected human fatality due to severe cyclone for these villages. Such probabilities are calculated from a cyclone impact (human deaths) function where a wide range of factors including natural ecosystems are used to control for the exposure and adaptive capacity of the villages. The results show villages established in mangrove habitat areas (after clearing the forest) and those with more marginal workers (without any regular jobs) to face a very high death risk. In contrast, villages situated in the leeward side of existing mangrove forest or near a major river are seen to be facing a much lower risk of deaths. The results have important implications like conserving mangroves in cyclone-prone areas, priority evacuation of villages established in the mangrove habitat before a high-intensity cyclone, etc., for cyclone hazard management. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Saudamini Das, 2012. "The role of natural ecosystems and socio-economic factors in the vulnerability of coastal villages to cyclone and storm surge," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 531-546, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:64:y:2012:i:1:p:531-546
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0255-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. P. Chittibabu & S. Dube & J. Macnabb & T. Murty & A. Rao & U. Mohanty & P. Sinha, 2004. "Mitigation of Flooding and Cyclone Hazard in Orissa, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 31(2), pages 455-485, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Manik Mahapatra & R. Ratheesh & A. S. Rajawat, 2017. "Storm surge vulnerability assessment of Saurashtra coast, Gujarat, using GIS techniques," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(2), pages 821-831, March.
    2. Ting Wu & Xiyong Hou & Qing Chen, 2016. "Coastal economic vulnerability to sea level rise of Bohai Rim in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1231-1241, January.
    3. Chandra Bahinipati & Unmesh Patnaik, 2015. "The damages from climatic extremes in India: do disaster-specific and generic adaptation measures matter?," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 17(1), pages 157-177, January.
    4. Malay Kumar Pramanik & Sumantra Sarathi Biswas & Biswajit Mondal & Raghunath Pal, 2016. "Coastal vulnerability assessment of the predicted sea level rise in the coastal zone of Krishna–Godavari delta region, Andhra Pradesh, east coast of India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 18(6), pages 1635-1655, December.
    5. Saudamini Das, 2019. "Evaluating climate change adaptation through evacuation decisions: a case study of cyclone management in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 152(2), pages 291-305, January.
    6. Saudamini Das & Arup Mitra, 2021. "Does climate change perception make livelihood diversification more effective? Evidence from the consumption mobility study of rural households," IEG Working Papers 425, Institute of Economic Growth.
    7. Mukherjee, Jenia & Ghosh, Pritwinath, 2020. "Fluid Epistemologies: The Social Saga of Sediments in Bengal," Ecology, Economy and Society - the INSEE Journal, Indian Society of Ecological Economics (INSEE), vol. 3(02), July.
    8. Hossain, M.S & Karlson, M & Neset, T.-S, 2019. "Application Of Gis For Cyclone Vulnerability Analysis Of Bangladesh," Earth Sciences Malaysia (ESMY), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 25-34, March.
    9. Yui-Yip Lau & Tsz-Leung Yip & Maxim A. Dulebenets & Yuk-Ming Tang & Tomoya Kawasaki, 2022. "A Review of Historical Changes of Tropical and Extra-Tropical Cyclones: A Comparative Analysis of the United States, Europe, and Asia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-19, April.

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