IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v63y2012i2p391-415.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The relationship between fire behaviour measures and community loss: an exploratory analysis for developing a bushfire severity scale

Author

Listed:
  • Sarah Harris
  • Wendy Anderson
  • Musa Kilinc
  • Liam Fogarty

Abstract

Current fire danger scales do not adequately reflect the potential destructive force of a bushfire in Australia and, therefore, do not provide fire prone communities with an adequate warning for the potential loss of human life and property. To determine options for developing a bushfire severity scale based on community impact and whether a link exists between the energy release rate (power) of a fire and community loss, this paper reviewed observations of 79 wildfires (from 1939 to 2009) across Victoria and other southern states of Australia. A methodology for estimating fire power based on fuel loading, fire size and progression rate is presented. McArthur’s existing fire danger indices (FDIs) as well as fuel- and slope-adjusted FDIs were calculated using fire weather data. Analysis of possible relationships between fire power, FDIs, rate of spread and Byram’s fireline intensity and community loss was performed using exposure as a covariate. Preliminary results showed that a stronger relationship exists between community loss and the power of the fire than between loss and FDI, although fuel-adjusted FDI was also a good predictor of loss. The database developed for this study and the relationships established are essential for undertaking future studies that require observations of past fire behaviour and losses and also to form the basis of developing a new severity scale. Copyright The Author(s) 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Sarah Harris & Wendy Anderson & Musa Kilinc & Liam Fogarty, 2012. "The relationship between fire behaviour measures and community loss: an exploratory analysis for developing a bushfire severity scale," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 391-415, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:63:y:2012:i:2:p:391-415
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0156-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-012-0156-y
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-012-0156-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. White,Halbert, 1996. "Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521574464, January.
    2. Zeileis, Achim & Kleiber, Christian & Jackman, Simon, 2008. "Regression Models for Count Data in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 27(i08).
    3. Mullahy, John, 1986. "Specification and testing of some modified count data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 341-365, December.
    4. Zeileis, Achim, 2004. "Econometric Computing with HC and HAC Covariance Matrix Estimators," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 11(i10).
    5. Zeileis, Achim, 2006. "Object-oriented Computation of Sandwich Estimators," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 16(i09).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vassiliki Kotroni & Constantinos Cartalis & Silas Michaelides & Julia Stoyanova & Fillipos Tymvios & Antonis Bezes & Theodoros Christoudias & Stavros Dafis & Christos Giannakopoulos & Theodore M. Gian, 2020. "DISARM Early Warning System for Wildfires in the Eastern Mediterranean," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-30, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christopher F. Parmeter, 2018. "Estimation of the two-tiered stochastic frontier model with the scaling property," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 37-47, February.
    2. Matthias Bannert & Andreas Dibiasi, 2014. "Unveiling Participant Level Determinants of Unit Non-Response in Business Tendency Surveys," KOF Working papers 14-363, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    3. Jochen Heberle & Cristina Sattarhoff, 2017. "A Fast Algorithm for the Computation of HAC Covariance Matrix Estimators," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-16, January.
    4. repec:jss:jstsof:27:i08 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Christian Kleiber & Achim Zeileis, 2016. "Visualizing Count Data Regressions Using Rootograms," The American Statistician, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(3), pages 296-303, July.
    6. Timo Dimitriadis & iaochun Liu & Julie Schnaitmann, 2023. "Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multistep Forecasts Based on Inference on the Boundary," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 412-444.
    7. Ball, Laurence & Carvalho, Carlos & Evans, Christopher & Antonio Ricci, Luca, 2024. "Weighted Median Inflation Around the World: A Measure of Core Inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    8. Stefan Seifert & Christoph Kahle & Silke Hüttel, 2021. "Price Dispersion in Farmland Markets: What Is the Role of Asymmetric Information?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(4), pages 1545-1568, August.
    9. Sviták, Jan & Tichem, Jan & Haasbeek, Stefan, 2021. "Price effects of search advertising restrictions," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Hasler Mario, 2013. "Multiple Contrasts for Repeated Measures," The International Journal of Biostatistics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 49-61, July.
    11. Mario Hasler, 2016. "Heteroscedasticity: multiple degrees of freedom vs. sandwich estimation," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 55-68, March.
    12. Kleiber Christian & Zeileis Achim, 2010. "The Grunfeld Data at 50," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 404-417, December.
    13. Evgenii V. Gilenko & Elena A. Mironova, 2017. "Modern claim frequency and claim severity models: An application to the Russian motor own damage insurance market," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1311097-131, January.
    14. Livio Finos & Fortunato Pesarin, 2020. "On zero-inflated permutation testing and some related problems," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2157-2174, October.
    15. Andre Jungmittag, 2019. "Service trade restrictiveness and internationalisation of retail trade," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 293-333, April.
    16. Wilms, Rafael & Dahan, Clara Seif el, 2022. "Are we on the same page? The moderating role of value congruence in charismatic signaling-charismatic effects relationship," OSF Preprints s5q6d, Center for Open Science.
    17. Christian Balcells, 2022. "Determinants of firm boundaries and organizational performance: an empirical investigation of the Chilean truck market," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 423-461, April.
    18. Moritz Berger & Gerhard Tutz, 2021. "Transition models for count data: a flexible alternative to fixed distribution models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(4), pages 1259-1283, October.
    19. Andersson, Jonas & Schroyen, Fred & Torsvik, Gaute, 2019. "The impact of international tax information exchange agreements on the use of tax amnesty: evidence from Norway," Discussion Papers 2019/12, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    20. Filipe Sengo Furtado & Thomas Reutterer & Nadine Schröder, 2022. "The carrot and the stick in online reviews: determinants of un-/helpfulness voting choices," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 92(4), pages 565-590, May.
    21. Addisu Jember Zeleke & Serena Moscato & Rossella Miglio & Lorenzo Chiari, 2022. "Length of Stay Analysis of COVID-19 Hospitalizations Using a Count Regression Model and Quantile Regression: A Study in Bologna, Italy," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-18, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:63:y:2012:i:2:p:391-415. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.