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Vulnerability of Hampton Roads, Virginia to Storm-Surge Flooding and Sea-Level Rise

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  • Lisa Kleinosky
  • Brent Yarnal
  • Ann Fisher

Abstract

Sea-level rise will increase the area covered by hurricane storm surges in coastal zones. This research assesses how patterns of vulnerability to storm-surge flooding could change in Hampton Roads, Virginia as a result of sea-level rise. Physical exposure to storm-surge flooding is mapped for all categories of hurricane, both for present sea level and for future sea-level rise. The locations of vulnerable sub-populations are determined through an analysis and mapping of socioeconomic characteristics commonly associated with vulnerability to environmental hazards and are compared to the flood-risk exposure zones. Scenarios are also developed that address uncertainties regarding future population growth and distribution. The results show that hurricane storm surge presents a significant hazard to Hampton Roads today, especially to the most vulnerable inhabitants of the region. In addition, future sea-level rise, population growth, and poorly planned development will increase the risk of storm-surge flooding, especially for vulnerable people, thus suggesting that planning should steer development away from low-lying coastal and near-coastal zones. Copyright Springer 2007

Suggested Citation

  • Lisa Kleinosky & Brent Yarnal & Ann Fisher, 2007. "Vulnerability of Hampton Roads, Virginia to Storm-Surge Flooding and Sea-Level Rise," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 40(1), pages 43-70, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:40:y:2007:i:1:p:43-70
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-006-0004-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. George Clark & Susanne Moser & Samuel Ratick & Kirstin Dow & William Meyer & Srinivas Emani & Weigen Jin & Jeanne Kasperson & Roger Kasperson & Harry Schwarz, 1998. "Assessing the Vulnerability of Coastal Communities to Extreme Storms: The Case of Revere, MA., USA," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 59-82, January.
    2. K. Mcinnes & K. Walsh & G. Hubbert & T. Beer, 2003. "Impact of Sea-level Rise and Storm Surges on a Coastal Community," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 30(2), pages 187-207, October.
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