IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v120y2024i13d10.1007_s11069-024-06676-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Role of surface and sub-surface ocean parameters on cyclonic storms over Arabian Sea in the recent decades

Author

Listed:
  • A. Amasarao

    (Andhra University)

  • P. Sunitha

    (Andhra University)

  • S. R. Rao

    (Andhra University)

  • K. Chandra sekhar

    (Andhra University)

  • B. Mmame

    (University of Malawi)

Abstract

The primary goal of the present paper is to examine variations in frequency and intensity of cyclonic storms over Arabian Sea using Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and Genesis Potential Index (GPI) from 1991–2020.For this purpose wavelet analysis is applied to surface and sub-surface ocean parameters viz Sea surface temperature (SST), Latent heat flux (LHF), Mixed layer depth (MLD), Depth of D26 Isotherm and Tropical cyclone heat potential (TCHP) to delve the probable changes. It is observed that the ACE signifies the intensity of tropical storms, has risen by 17.6% during the recent decade (2011–2020). LHF and SST are in phase with the intensification of cyclonic storms from Continuous wavelet transform (CWT) power spectrum analysis. Both SST and GPI were strongly correlated(0.8, 95% significant level) during pre-monsoon season.Siginifcant coherence was observed between frequency of cyclonic storms and TCHP in the recent decades through wavelet coherence transform technique. The cross wavelet transform (XWT) shows the frequency of cyclonic storms and SSTs are in phase during Indian Ocean dipole events. By these observations,this study helps in advance forecasting about formation and intensification of cyclonic storms over Arabian Sea.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Amasarao & P. Sunitha & S. R. Rao & K. Chandra sekhar & B. Mmame, 2024. "Role of surface and sub-surface ocean parameters on cyclonic storms over Arabian Sea in the recent decades," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(13), pages 11969-11985, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:13:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06676-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06676-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-024-06676-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-024-06676-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hiroyuki Murakami & Gabriel A. Vecchi & Seth Underwood, 2017. "Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(12), pages 885-889, December.
    2. R. S. Akhila & J. Kuttippurath & R. Rahul & A. Chakraborty, 2022. "Genesis and simultaneous occurrences of the super cyclone Kyarr and extremely severe cyclone Maha in the Arabian Sea in October 2019," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(2), pages 1133-1150, September.
    3. Sven Kunze, 2021. "Unraveling the Effects of Tropical Cyclones on Economic Sectors Worldwide: Direct and Indirect Impacts," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 78(4), pages 545-569, April.
    4. S. Jonkman, 2005. "Global Perspectives on Loss of Human Life Caused by Floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 34(2), pages 151-175, February.
    5. Bin Wang & Shibin Xu & Liguang Wu, 2012. "Intensified Arabian Sea tropical storms," Nature, Nature, vol. 489(7416), pages 1-2, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davor Kvočka & Roger A. Falconer & Michaela Bray, 2016. "Flood hazard assessment for extreme flood events," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1569-1599, December.
    2. Rebecca E. Morss & Julie L. Demuth & Ann Bostrom & Jeffrey K. Lazo & Heather Lazrus, 2015. "Flash Flood Risks and Warning Decisions: A Mental Models Study of Forecasters, Public Officials, and Media Broadcasters in Boulder, Colorado," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(11), pages 2009-2028, November.
    3. Atul Kumar Varma & Neeru Jaiswal & Ayan Das & Mukesh Kumar & Nikhil V. Lele & Rojalin Tripathy & Saroj Maity & Mehul Pandya & Bimal Bhattacharya & Anup Kumar Mandal & M. Jishad & M. Seemanth & Arvind , 2023. "A pathway for multi-stage cyclone-induced hazard tracking—case study for Yaas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(1), pages 1035-1067, May.
    4. Sivadasan, Jagadeesh & Xu, Wenjian, 2021. "Missing women in India: Gender-specific effects of early-life rainfall shocks," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    5. María Isabel Arango & Edier Aristizábal & Federico Gómez, 2021. "Morphometrical analysis of torrential flows-prone catchments in tropical and mountainous terrain of the Colombian Andes by machine learning techniques," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(1), pages 983-1012, January.
    6. Francesco Serinaldi & Florian Loecker & Chris G. Kilsby & Hubert Bast, 2018. "Flood propagation and duration in large river basins: a data-driven analysis for reinsurance purposes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 71-92, October.
    7. Derly Gómez & Edwin F. García & Edier Aristizábal, 2023. "Spatial and temporal landslide distributions using global and open landslide databases," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(1), pages 25-55, May.
    8. Shinto Roose & R. S. Ajayamohan & Pallav Ray & Shang-Ping Xie & C. T. Sabeerali & M. Mohapatra & S. Taraphdar & K. Mohanakumar & M. Rajeevan, 2023. "Pacific decadal oscillation causes fewer near-equatorial cyclones in the North Indian Ocean," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    9. Ibidun Adelekan & Adeniyi Asiyanbi, 2016. "Flood risk perception in flood-affected communities in Lagos, Nigeria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 445-469, January.
    10. Weili Duan & Bin He & Daniel Nover & Jingli Fan & Guishan Yang & Wen Chen & Huifang Meng & Chuanming Liu, 2016. "Floods and associated socioeconomic damages in China over the last century," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 401-413, May.
    11. Tian Liu & Peijun Shi & Jian Fang, 2022. "Spatiotemporal variation in global floods with different affected areas and the contribution of influencing factors to flood-induced mortality (1985–2019)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2601-2625, April.
    12. A. D. Rao & Puja Upadhaya & Smita Pandey & Jismy Poulose, 2020. "Simulation of extreme water levels in response to tropical cyclones along the Indian coast: a climate change perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 151-172, January.
    13. Morteza T. Marvi, 2020. "A review of flood damage analysis for a building structure and contents," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(3), pages 967-995, July.
    14. S. Mosquera-Machado & Sajjad Ahmad, 2007. "Flood hazard assessment of Atrato River in Colombia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(3), pages 591-609, March.
    15. Dilshad Ahmad & Mohammad Afzal & Abdur Rauf, 2021. "Farmers’ adaptation decisions to landslides and flash floods in the mountainous region of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa of Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 8573-8600, June.
    16. José Barredo, 2007. "Major flood disasters in Europe: 1950–2005," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 42(1), pages 125-148, July.
    17. Guozhen Wei & Wei Ding & Guohua Liang & Bin He & Jian Wu & Rui Zhang & Huicheng Zhou, 2022. "A New Framework Based on Data-Based Mechanistic Model and Forgetting Mechanism for Flood Forecast," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3591-3607, August.
    18. Helen Boon, 2014. "Disaster resilience in a flood-impacted rural Australian town," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 683-701, March.
    19. Ruth Abegaz & Fei Wang & Jun Xu, 2024. "History, causes, and trend of floods in the U.S.: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(15), pages 13715-13755, December.
    20. Guleid Artan & Hussein Gadain & Jodie Smith & Kwabena Asante & Christina Bandaragoda & James Verdin, 2007. "Adequacy of satellite derived rainfall data for stream flow modeling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 43(2), pages 167-185, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:13:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06676-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.