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Simulation of compound flooding in Japan using a nationwide model

Author

Listed:
  • Wei Huang

    (Oak Ridge National Laboratory)

  • Yinglong Joseph Zhang

    (Virginia Institute of Marine Science)

  • Zhuo Liu

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Hao-Cheng Yu

    (Virginia Institute of Marine Science)

  • Yi Liu

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Sam Lamont

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Yu Zhang

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Feyera Hirpa

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Ting Li

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Brett Baker

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Wang Zhan

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Shabaz Patel

    (One Concern Inc)

  • Nobuhito Mori

    (Kyoto University)

Abstract

A high-resolution, summit-to-sea unstructured-grid model was used to simulate two compound flooding events in different geomorphic settings in Japan: the July 2012 flood in Kumamoto city and July 2018 flood in Okayama City, both caused by a torrential rainfall during seasonal Meiyu front but otherwise exhibiting quite different compound flood characteristics. The model shows good performance in simulating flooding extent; e.g., the Hit Rate for the inundation event in 2018 exceeds 0.9. Sensitivity tests were conducted to determine the roles/significance of levee structures along major rivers in coastal regions. Our results indicate that riverine and oceanic factors as well as levees significantly contribute to the observed flooding extents, and we are able to quantify the contributions from each factor at different locations. The model has been implemented operationally as the first nationwide 3-day compound flooding forecast system for Japan.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Huang & Yinglong Joseph Zhang & Zhuo Liu & Hao-Cheng Yu & Yi Liu & Sam Lamont & Yu Zhang & Feyera Hirpa & Ting Li & Brett Baker & Wang Zhan & Shabaz Patel & Nobuhito Mori, 2023. "Simulation of compound flooding in Japan using a nationwide model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2693-2713, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:117:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-023-05962-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-05962-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Desirée Tullos & Elizabeth Byron & Gerald Galloway & Jayantha Obeysekera & Om Prakash & Yung-Hsin Sun, 2016. "Review of challenges of and practices for sustainable management of mountain flood hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(3), pages 1763-1797, September.
    2. Dhruvesh P. Patel & Jorge A. Ramirez & Prashant K. Srivastava & Michaela Bray & Dawei Han, 2017. "Assessment of flood inundation mapping of Surat city by coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic modeling: a case application of the new HEC-RAS 5," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(1), pages 93-130, October.
    3. Mary Downton & Roger Pielke, 2005. "How Accurate are Disaster Loss Data? The Case of U.S. Flood Damage," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 35(2), pages 211-228, June.
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