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Environmental indicators combined with risk analysis to evaluate potential wildfire incidence on the Dadu Plateau in Taiwan

Author

Listed:
  • Chao-Yuan Lin

    (National Chung Hsing University)

  • Pei-Ying Shieh

    (National Chung Hsing University)

  • Shao-Wei Wu

    (National Chung Hsing University)

  • Po-Cheng Wang

    (National Chung Hsing University)

  • Yung-Chau Chen

    (National Chung Hsing University)

Abstract

Wildfire is a common disaster in the world, and it has a considerable impact on the safety of residents and ecological disturbance. Periodic wildfires are an urgent problem to be solved. This research uses big data from relevant departments to extract environmental indicators that affect wildfires, including satellite images, meteorological observations, and field surveys and establishes a risk model for the Spatio-temporal distribution of wildfires based on risk analysis. Previous studies using Differenced Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) to assess fire severity and distinguish wildfire ruins did not deal with the impact of atmospheric humidity on dNBR values. In this study, an adjustable fire threshold was developed to enable dNBR to improve the accuracy of identifying wildfire locations. Regarding the temporal distribution of wildfire risks, environmental vulnerability cannot specifically reflect the frequency of actual wildfires. If the hazard degree is introduced to calculate the wildfire risk, the coefficient of determination can be increased from 0.49 to 0.79. The verification of the village boundary zone depicts that the risk analysis can effectively show the temporal and spatial distribution of wildfire hotspots. On this basis, a village-level wildfire disaster prevention strategy can be formulated.

Suggested Citation

  • Chao-Yuan Lin & Pei-Ying Shieh & Shao-Wei Wu & Po-Cheng Wang & Yung-Chau Chen, 2022. "Environmental indicators combined with risk analysis to evaluate potential wildfire incidence on the Dadu Plateau in Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 287-313, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:113:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05300-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05300-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marco Turco & Juan José Rosa-Cánovas & Joaquín Bedia & Sonia Jerez & Juan Pedro Montávez & Maria Carmen Llasat & Antonello Provenzale, 2018. "Exacerbated fires in Mediterranean Europe due to anthropogenic warming projected with non-stationary climate-fire models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. W. Matt Jolly & Mark A. Cochrane & Patrick H. Freeborn & Zachary A. Holden & Timothy J. Brown & Grant J. Williamson & David M. J. S. Bowman, 2015. "Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-11, November.
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