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Can the visualization of rip currents prevent drowning accidents? Consideration of the effect of optimism bias

Author

Listed:
  • Shintaro Endo

    (National Institution for Youth Education
    Chiba Institute of Technology)

  • Ryo Shimada

    (Chuo University)

  • Toshinori Ishikawa

    (Chuo University)

  • Tsutomu Komine

    (Chuo University)

Abstract

Drowning accidents at beach in Japan are caused by rip currents. To reduce these accidents, a new technology that can detect rip currents and notify beachgoers by using the Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) was proposed. However, studies on the effect of visualizing rip currents or considering the effect of optimism bias have not been conducted. This study investigates if visualization of rip currents might help in preventing drowning accidents, while considering the effect of optimism bias. The participants were 90 Japanese beachgoers. They were asked to answer questions based on their knowledge of the beach and rip currents, their optimism bias regarding rip currents, and awareness with or without visualization. The results of the analyses suggest that despite optimism bias, the visualization of rip currents increases the tendency of beachgoers to perceive and avoid rip currents. As described above, it was found that by visualizing the rip current, beachgoers were able to perceive and avoid rip currents. In addition, an understanding of rip currents is positively related to the intent to avoid rip currents even when rip currents are visualized. Therefore, it is necessary not only to enhance the avoidance tendency by visualizing rip currents, but also to further enhance knowledge of beachgoers to deepen the understanding of rip currents including the danger associated and methods to avoid them.

Suggested Citation

  • Shintaro Endo & Ryo Shimada & Toshinori Ishikawa & Tsutomu Komine, 2022. "Can the visualization of rip currents prevent drowning accidents? Consideration of the effect of optimism bias," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 2017-2033, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:110:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-021-05023-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-05023-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. Dana Ménard & Chris Houser & Robert W. Brander & Sarah Trimble & Alexandra Scaman, 2018. "The psychology of beach users: importance of confirmation bias, action, and intention to improving rip current safety," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(2), pages 953-973, November.
    2. Kaminski, Abigail & Bell, Kathleen P. & Noblet, Caroline L. & Evans, Keith S., 2017. "An Economic Analysis of Coastal Beach Safety Information-Seeking Behavior," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(2), pages 365-387, August.
    3. Nicole Caldwell & Chris Houser & Klaus Meyer-Arendt, 2013. "Ability of beach users to identify rip currents at Pensacola Beach, Florida," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(2), pages 1041-1056, September.
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    Cited by:

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