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Seismic risk evaluation of highway tunnel groups

Author

Listed:
  • Pablo Cartes

    (Universidad de Concepción)

  • Alondra Chamorro

    (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
    Research Center for the Integrated Management of Natural Disasters (CIGIDEN), ANID/FONDAP/15110017)

  • Tomás Echaveguren

    (Universidad de Concepción
    Research Center for the Integrated Management of Natural Disasters (CIGIDEN), ANID/FONDAP/15110017)

Abstract

Tunnels allow the continuity of rural road and urban transportation networks. Their shutdown provokes a loss in the transport system’s level service, which entails higher road user costs. Earthquakes are the hazard that most affect the tunnels’ serviceability. Depending on the structural damage’s magnitude, the serviceability loss can be at different degrees, from marginal changes in traffic flow, associated with minor damages, to traffic interruption, associated with collapsing. Because of seismic phenomena’ randomness nature, its effect on tunnel serviceability is estimated in probabilistic terms. Traffic interruption probability was estimated using fragility curves, representing the probability of achieving a specific damage state regarding the seismic hazard intensity. The calibration of tunnel fragility curves requires large samples of damages, seismic intensities, and geological and constructive data, which are not always available, especially in countries with a small number of tunnels in their road network. This work proposes a simplified procedure for evaluating the tunnels’ traffic interruption probability due to earthquakes. The approach proposed uses existent seismic exposures maps, a strategy for selecting from existing fragility curves the more suitable, and a simple method to estimate the traffic interruption probability. The procedure analysed 20 tunnels affected by the Maule earthquake in Chile. These tunnels experimented PGA between 0.12 and 0.36 g. The highest risk values were obtained in tunnels without alternative routes and high repairing costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Cartes & Alondra Chamorro & Tomás Echaveguren, 2021. "Seismic risk evaluation of highway tunnel groups," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 2101-2121, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:108:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04770-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04770-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. Vanuvamalai & K. P. Jaya & V. Balachandran, 2018. "Seismic performance of tunnel structures: a case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 453-468, August.
    2. Jacopo Selva & Sotiris Argyroudis & Kyriazis Pitilakis, 2013. "Impact on loss/risk assessments of inter-model variability in vulnerability analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(2), pages 723-746, June.
    3. Xiaorong Hu & Zhiguang Zhou & Hao Chen & Yongqiang Ren, 2020. "Seismic Fragility Analysis of Tunnels with Different Buried Depths in a Soft Soil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, January.
    4. Argyroudis, Sotirios A. & Mitoulis, Stergios Α. & Winter, Mike G. & Kaynia, Amir M., 2019. "Fragility of transport assets exposed to multiple hazards: State-of-the-art review toward infrastructural resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
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