IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v105y2021i3d10.1007_s11069-020-04422-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessment of drought frequency, severity, and duration and its impacts on vegetation greenness and agriculture production in Mediterranean dryland: A case study in Tunisia

Author

Listed:
  • Nada Ben Mhenni

    (Nagoya University)

  • Masato Shinoda

    (Nagoya University)

  • Banzragch Nandintsetseg

    (Nagoya University
    Information and Research Institute of Meteorology
    National University of Mongolia)

Abstract

Drought is among the highest-impact natural hazards affecting drylands around the world in a warming climate. The Mediterranean region, including Tunisia, is projected to experience the most predominant drying trends worldwide. However, a detailed regional scale study of drought for Tunisia has been limited, hampering an assessment of drought impact on the ecosystem and society. This study explored drought characteristics and its effect on vegetation greenness and agricultural productivity in three vegetation zones of Tunisia during 1982–2011, taking advantage of both meteorological and soil moisture drought indices and identifying the most appropriate index for each zone. The results revealed that meteorological droughts were short and frequent, triggering soil moisture droughts that were long-lasting and intense. The standardized precipitation index was identified as the best indicator of vegetation and agricultural droughts in the Northern forest, while the Palmer Drought Severity Index was best in the Central steppe and Southern desert (no crop data in the Southern desert). The lag-correlation analysis revealed that the response of both vegetation greenness and wheat productivity to droughts was more pronounced and had a longer significant lag in the Central steppe than in the other regions. These results suggest that arable land species (Central steppe and Southern desert), characterized by shallow roots, have a rapid response to rainfall variability when compared with forest species (Northern forest), which have deep roots allowing them an adequate supply of moisture. The region-specific indices identified here will provide a useful measure for drought monitoring and mitigation in Tunisia.

Suggested Citation

  • Nada Ben Mhenni & Masato Shinoda & Banzragch Nandintsetseg, 2021. "Assessment of drought frequency, severity, and duration and its impacts on vegetation greenness and agriculture production in Mediterranean dryland: A case study in Tunisia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2755-2776, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:105:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04422-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04422-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-020-04422-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-020-04422-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jeannie Sowers & Avner Vengosh & Erika Weinthal, 2011. "Climate change, water resources, and the politics of adaptation in the Middle East and North Africa," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(3), pages 599-627, February.
    2. Noah Diffenbaugh & Filippo Giorgi, 2012. "Climate change hotspots in the CMIP5 global climate model ensemble," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 114(3), pages 813-822, October.
    3. Joseph M. Craine & Troy W. Ocheltree & Jesse B. Nippert & E. Gene Towne & Adam M. Skibbe & Steven W. Kembel & Joseph E. Fargione, 2013. "Global diversity of drought tolerance and grassland climate-change resilience," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(1), pages 63-67, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra & Ameztegui, Aitor & De Cáceres, Miquel & de-Miguel, Sergio & Lefèvre, François & Brotons, Lluís & Coll, Lluís, 2020. "Future trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services in Mediterranean forests under global change scenarios," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    2. Giulio Fusco, 2022. "Climate Change and Food Security in the Northern and Eastern African Regions: A Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-10, October.
    3. Stefanos Stefanidis & Vasileios Alexandridis & Kaushik Ghosal, 2022. "Assessment of Water-Induced Soil Erosion as a Threat to Natura 2000 Protected Areas in Crete Island, Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-22, February.
    4. Qianjin Dong & Xu Zhang & Yalin Chen & Debin Fang, 2019. "Dynamic Management of a Water Resources-Socioeconomic-Environmental System Based on Feedbacks Using System Dynamics," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(6), pages 2093-2108, April.
    5. Martínez Flores, Fernanda & Milusheva, Sveta & Reichert, Arndt R. & Reitmann, Ann-Kristin, 2024. "Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Endale Siyoum Demissie & Demisachew Yilma Gashaw & Andarge Alaro Altaye & Solomon S. Demissie & Gebiaw T. Ayele, 2023. "Groundwater Recharge Estimation in Upper Gelana Watershed, South-Western Main Ethiopian Rift Valley," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, January.
    7. Ramírez-Cuesta, J.M. & Intrigliolo, D.S. & Lorite, I.J. & Moreno, M.A. & Vanella, D. & Ballesteros, R. & Hernández-López, D. & Buesa, I., 2023. "Determining grapevine water use under different sustainable agronomic practices using METRIC-UAV surface energy balance model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    8. Peyman Arjomandi A. & Masoud Yazdanpanah & Akbar Shirzad & Nadejda Komendantova & Erfan Kameli & Mahdi Hosseinzadeh & Erfan Razavi, 2023. "Institutional Trust and Cognitive Motivation toward Water Conservation in the Face of an Environmental Disaster," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-21, January.
    9. Dinko Hanaan Dinko, 2022. "Scale matters: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Freshwater Conflicts from 1900-2019," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(1), pages 219-233, January.
    10. Carlos Madeira, 2022. "A review of the future impact of climate change in Chile: economic output and other outcomes," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(8), pages 1-22, December.
    11. Stefanos Stefanidis & Nikolaos Proutsos & Vasileios Alexandridis & Giorgos Mallinis, 2024. "Ecosystem Services Supply from Peri-Urban Watersheds in Greece: Soil Conservation and Water Retention," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-18, May.
    12. Linyin Cheng & Amir AghaKouchak & Eric Gilleland & Richard Katz, 2014. "Non-stationary extreme value analysis in a changing climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 127(2), pages 353-369, November.
    13. Gabriele Lobaccaro & Juan Angel Acero & Gerardo Sanchez Martinez & Ales Padro & Txomin Laburu & German Fernandez, 2019. "Effects of Orientations, Aspect Ratios, Pavement Materials and Vegetation Elements on Thermal Stress inside Typical Urban Canyons," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-29, September.
    14. Fortes, Patrícia & Simoes, Sofia G. & Amorim, Filipa & Siggini, Gildas & Sessa, Valentina & Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie & Carvalho, Sílvia & Mujtaba, Babar & Diogo, Paulo & Assoumou, Edi, 2022. "How sensitive is a carbon-neutral power sector to climate change? The interplay between hydro, solar and wind for Portugal," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    15. Ghanian, Mansour & M. Ghoochani, Omid & Dehghanpour, Mojtaba & Taqipour, Milad & Taheri, Fatemeh & Cotton, Matthew, 2020. "Understanding farmers’ climate adaptation intention in Iran: A protection-motivation extended model," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    16. Amit Tubi & Joe Williams, 2021. "Beyond binary outcomes in climate adaptation: The illustrative case of desalination," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(2), March.
    17. H. Huebener & M. Sanderson & I. Höschel & J. Körper & T. Johns & J.-F. Royer & E. Roeckner & E. Manzini & J.-L. Dufresne & O. Otterå & J. Tjiputra & D. Salas y Melia & M. Giorgetta & S. Denvil & P. Fo, 2013. "Regional hydrological cycle changes in response to an ambitious mitigation scenario," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 120(1), pages 389-403, September.
    18. Jian-Sheng Ye & James Reynolds & Guo-Jun Sun & Feng-Min Li, 2013. "Impacts of increased variability in precipitation and air temperature on net primary productivity of the Tibetan Plateau: a modeling analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 321-332, July.
    19. Wang, Tong & Jin, Hailong & Kreuter, Urs & Teague, Richard, 2021. "Expanding grass-based agriculture on marginal land in the U.S. Great Plains: The role of management intensive grazing," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    20. Burhan Can Karahasan & Mehmet Pinar, 2023. "Climate change and spatial agricultural development in Turkey," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1699-1720, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:105:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04422-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.