IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v100y2020i3d10.1007_s11069-020-03855-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

MERLIN: a flood hazard forecasting system for coastal river reaches

Author

Listed:
  • Ignacio Fraga

    (CITIC, University of A Coruña)

  • Luis Cea

    (University of A Coruña)

  • Jerónimo Puertas

    (University of A Coruña)

Abstract

This study presents MERLIN, an innovative flood hazard forecasting system for predicting discharges and water levels at flood prone areas of coastal catchments. Discharge forecasts are preceded by a hindcast stage. During this stage, the hydrological models assimilate soil moisture and hydro-meteorological observations to evaluate soil infiltration capacities at the beginning of the discharge forecast. Predicted discharges are converted to water-level forecasts using the hydraulic model Iber+, a GPU-parallelized bidimensional flow model. Hydraulic models also assimilate tidal-level forecasts in order to define the boundary conditions of the models. The performance of MERLIN was evaluated over 4 months at three coastal catchments of 4.95, 16.96, and 83.9 km2. Forecasted discharges and water levels presented a good fit to observed values, especially at the larger catchments, which confirmed the potential utility of the presented system.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Fraga & Luis Cea & Jerónimo Puertas, 2020. "MERLIN: a flood hazard forecasting system for coastal river reaches," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(3), pages 1171-1193, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:100:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-03855-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03855-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-020-03855-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-020-03855-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nigel Arnell & Simon Gosling, 2016. "The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(3), pages 387-401, February.
    2. Wim Kellens & Wouter Vanneuville & Els Verfaillie & Ellen Meire & Pieter Deckers & Philippe Maeyer, 2013. "Flood Risk Management in Flanders: Past Developments and Future Challenges," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3585-3606, August.
    3. J. Sopelana & L. Cea & S. Ruano, 2018. "A continuous simulation approach for the estimation of extreme flood inundation in coastal river reaches affected by meso- and macrotides," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(3), pages 1337-1358, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bushra Khalid & Bueh Cholaw & Débora Souza Alvim & Shumaila Javeed & Junaid Aziz Khan & Muhammad Asif Javed & Azmat Hayat Khan, 2018. "Riverine flood assessment in Jhang district in connection with ENSO and summer monsoon rainfall over Upper Indus Basin for 2010," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(2), pages 971-993, June.
    2. Laura Devitt & Jeffrey Neal & Gemma Coxon & James Savage & Thorsten Wagener, 2023. "Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. World Bank, 2023. "Somalia Climate Risk Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 40076, The World Bank Group.
    4. Indira Pokhrel & Ajay Kalra & Md Mafuzur Rahaman & Ranjeet Thakali, 2020. "Forecasting of Future Flooding and Risk Assessment under CMIP6 Climate Projection in Neuse River, North Carolina," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-23, August.
    5. Osberghaus, Daniel & Reif, Christiane, 2021. "How do different compensation schemes and loss experience affect insurance decisions? Experimental evidence from two independent and heterogeneous samples," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    6. Ruth Abegaz & Fei Wang & Jun Xu, 2024. "History, causes, and trend of floods in the U.S.: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(15), pages 13715-13755, December.
    7. Swarupa Paudel & Neekita Joshi & Ajay Kalra, 2023. "Projected Future Flooding Pattern of Wabash River in Indiana and Fountain Creek in Colorado: An Assessment Utilizing Bias-Corrected CMIP6 Climate Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-19, April.
    8. Choi, Hyunhong & Shin, Jungwoo & Woo, JongRoul, 2018. "Effect of electricity generation mix on battery electric vehicle adoption and its environmental impact," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 13-24.
    9. Dries Hegger & Peter Driessen & Carel Dieperink & Mark Wiering & G. Raadgever & Helena Rijswick, 2014. "Assessing Stability and Dynamics in Flood Risk Governance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4127-4142, September.
    10. Patault, Edouard & Ledun, Jérôme & Landemaine, Valentin & Soulignac, Arnaud & Richet, Jean-Baptiste & Fournier, Matthieu & Ouvry, Jean-François & Cerdan, Olivier & Laignel, Benoit, 2021. "Analysis of off-site economic costs induced by runoff and soil erosion: Example of two areas in the northwestern European loess belt for the last two decades (Normandy, France)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    11. Sudheer Padikkal & K. S. Sumam & N. Sajikumar, 2018. "Sustainability indicators of water sharing compacts," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(5), pages 2027-2042, October.
    12. Rosa Fernández Ropero & María Julia Flores & Rafael Rumí, 2022. "Bayesian Networks for Preprocessing Water Management Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, May.
    13. Hereher, Mohamed & El Kenawy, Ahmed M., 2020. "Exploring the potential of solar, tidal, and wind energy resources in Oman using an integrated climatic-socioeconomic approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 662-675.
    14. Brunella Arru & Roberto Furesi & Pietro Pulina & Antonietta Bardi & Fabio A. Madau, 2025. "Perception of Ecosystem Services Provided by the Primary Sector in Floodplains: A Study of Sardinia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-25, January.
    15. Yi-Chang Chiang & Tzen-Ying Ling, 2017. "Exploring Flood Resilience Thinking in the Retail Sector under Climate Change: A Case Study of an Estuarine Region of Taipei City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, September.
    16. Zhiqiang Yin & Yixin Hu & Katie Jenkins & Yi He & Nicole Forstenhäusler & Rachel Warren & Lili Yang & Rhosanna Jenkins & Dabo Guan, 2021. "Assessing the economic impacts of future fluvial flooding in six countries under climate change and socio-economic development," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-21, June.
    17. Morteza Akbari & Ehsan Neamatollahi & Hadi Memarian & Mohammad Alizadeh Noughani, 2023. "Assessing impacts of floods disaster on soil erosion risk based on the RUSLE-GloSEM approach in western Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(2), pages 1689-1710, June.
    18. Cillian P. McDowell & Luisa Andrade & Eoin O’Neill & Kevin O’Malley & Jean O’Dwyer & Paul D. Hynds, 2020. "Gender-Related Differences in Flood Risk Perception and Behaviours among Private Groundwater Users in the Republic of Ireland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-14, March.
    19. Mónica Maldonado-Devis & Vicent Almenar-Llongo, 2021. "A Panel Data Estimation of Domestic Water Demand with IRT Tariff Structure: The Case of the City of Valencia (Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-26, January.
    20. Xin He & Simon Stisen & Marianne Wiese & Hans Henriksen, 2016. "Designing a Hydrological Real-Time System for Surface Water and Groundwater in Denmark with Engagement of Stakeholders," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1785-1802, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:100:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-03855-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.