IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/metcap/v20y2018i4d10.1007_s11009-018-9624-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pricing Variance Swaps in a Hybrid Model of Stochastic Volatility and Interest Rate with Regime-Switching

Author

Listed:
  • Jiling Cao

    (Auckland University of Technology)

  • Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan

    (Auckland University of Technology
    Universiti Utara Malaysia)

  • Wenjun Zhang

    (Auckland University of Technology)

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the problem of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps based on a hybrid model of stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate with regime-switching. Our modeling framework extends the Heston stochastic volatility model by including the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) stochastic interest rate model. In addition, certain model parameters in our model switch according to a continuous-time observable Markov chain process. This enables our model to capture several macroeconomic issues such as alternating business cycles. A semi-closed form pricing formula for variance swaps is derived. The pricing formula is assessed through numerical implementation, where we validate our pricing formula against the Monte Carlo simulation. The impact of incorporating regime-switching for pricing variance swaps is also discussed, where variance swaps prices with and without regime-switching effects are examined in our model. We also explore the economic consequence for the prices of variance swaps by allowing the Heston-CIR model to switch across three different regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiling Cao & Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan & Wenjun Zhang, 2018. "Pricing Variance Swaps in a Hybrid Model of Stochastic Volatility and Interest Rate with Regime-Switching," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1359-1379, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:20:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s11009-018-9624-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11009-018-9624-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11009-018-9624-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11009-018-9624-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carole Bernard & Zhenyu Cui, 2014. "Prices and Asymptotics for Discrete Variance Swaps," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 140-173, April.
    2. Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2013. "Longevity bond pricing under stochastic interest rate and mortality with regime-switching," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 114-123.
    3. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Rehez Ahlip & Marek Rutkowski, 2013. "Pricing of foreign exchange options under the Heston stochastic volatility model and CIR interest rates," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 955-966, May.
    5. Darrell Duffie & Jun Pan & Kenneth Singleton, 2000. "Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(6), pages 1343-1376, November.
    6. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    7. Cao, Jiling & Lian, Guanghua & Roslan, Teh Raihana Nazirah, 2016. "Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 277(C), pages 72-81.
    8. Robert Elliott & Tak Kuen Siu & Leunglung Chan, 2007. "Pricing Volatility Swaps Under Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model with Regime Switching," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 41-62.
    9. Roman Horsky & Tilman Sayer, 2015. "Joining The Heston And A Three-Factor Short Rate Model: A Closed-Form Approach," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(08), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Andrew Papanicolaou & Ronnie Sircar, 2014. "A regime-switching Heston model for VIX and S&P 500 implied volatilities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(10), pages 1811-1827, October.
    11. Robert J. Elliott & Craig A. Wilson, 2007. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a Hidden Markov Setting," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Rogemar S. Mamon & Robert J. Elliott (ed.), Hidden Markov Models in Finance, chapter 2, pages 15-30, Springer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xin‐Jiang He & Wenting Chen, 2021. "A semianalytical formula for European options under a hybrid Heston–Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model with regime switching," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 343-352, January.
    2. Lesław Gajek & Marcin Rudź, 2020. "Finite-horizon general insolvency risk measures in a regime-switching Sparre Andersen model," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 1507-1528, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ben-Zhang Yang & Jia Yue & Nan-Jing Huang, 2019. "Equilibrium Price Of Variance Swaps Under Stochastic Volatility With Lévy Jumps And Stochastic Interest Rate," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-33, June.
    2. Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan & Wenjun Zhang & Jiling Cao, 2016. "Pricing variance swaps with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate under full correlation structure," Papers 1610.09714, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    3. Ben-zhang Yang & Jia Yue & Nan-jing Huang, 2017. "Variance swaps under L\'{e}vy process with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate in incomplete markets," Papers 1712.10105, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    4. Cao, Jiling & Lian, Guanghua & Roslan, Teh Raihana Nazirah, 2016. "Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 277(C), pages 72-81.
    5. Zhu, Song-Ping & Lian, Guang-Hua, 2015. "Pricing forward-start variance swaps with stochastic volatility," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 920-933.
    6. Ying Chang & Yiming Wang & Sumei Zhang, 2021. "Option Pricing under Double Heston Jump-Diffusion Model with Approximative Fractional Stochastic Volatility," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-10, January.
    7. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Papers 2210.12393, arXiv.org.
    8. Kim, See-Woo & Kim, Jeong-Hoon, 2018. "Analytic solutions for variance swaps with double-mean-reverting volatility," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 130-144.
    9. Ah-Reum Han & Jeong-Hoon Kim & See-Woo Kim, 2021. "Variance Swaps with Deterministic and Stochastic Correlations," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1059-1092, April.
    10. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Working Papers hal-03827332, HAL.
    11. Song-Ping Zhu & Guang-Hua Lian, 2018. "On the Convexity Correction Approximation in Pricing Volatility Swaps and VIX Futures," New Mathematics and Natural Computation (NMNC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 383-401, November.
    12. Kim, See-Woo & Kim, Jeong-Hoon, 2019. "Variance swaps with double exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 149-169.
    13. Kim, See-Woo & Kim, Jeong-Hoon, 2020. "Pricing generalized variance swaps under the Heston model with stochastic interest rates," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 1-27.
    14. Lian, Guanghua & Chiarella, Carl & Kalev, Petko S., 2014. "Volatility swaps and volatility options on discretely sampled realized variance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 239-262.
    15. Thomas Kokholm & Martin Stisen, 2015. "Joint pricing of VIX and SPX options with stochastic volatility and jump models," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 27-48, January.
    16. Almeida, Thiago Ramos, 2024. "Estimating time-varying factors’ variance in the string-term structure model with stochastic volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    17. Chenxu Li, 2014. "Closed-Form Expansion, Conditional Expectation, and Option Valuation," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(2), pages 487-516, May.
    18. Sebastian A. Gehricke & Jin E. Zhang, 2020. "Modeling VXX under jump diffusion with stochastic long‐term mean," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(10), pages 1508-1534, October.
    19. Chen, Bin & Song, Zhaogang, 2013. "Testing whether the underlying continuous-time process follows a diffusion: An infinitesimal operator-based approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 83-107.
    20. Misha Beek & Michel Mandjes & Peter Spreij & Erik Winands, 2020. "Regime switching affine processes with applications to finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 309-333, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:20:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s11009-018-9624-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.