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Drought-related vulnerability and its policy implications in Hungary

Author

Listed:
  • Attila Buzási

    (Budapest University of Technology and Economics)

  • Tamás Pálvölgyi

    (Budapest University of Technology and Economics)

  • Diána Esses

    (Budapest University of Technology and Economics)

Abstract

Drought phenomena have been frequent in Hungarian history. One of the most important sectors in Hungary is agriculture, so the agricultural drought is a particularly important area to be examined. The purpose of the study is to determine how vulnerable each county (NUTS-3 regions) is to the expected effects of drought. The study provides an assessment framework of drought-related vulnerabilities and the preparedness of drought policies at the NUTS-3 level in Hungary. The drought-related vulnerability of NUTS-3 regions was determined by selected exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indicators. The calculation of drought vulnerability is based on the IPCC 2007 methodology, while the input data were derived from the National Adaptation Geo-information System online data platform and Hungarian agro-statistical data sources. An assessment framework of drought-related policy performance of NUTS-3-level climate change strategies was developed. The evaluation methodology is based on a specific scorecard of evaluation criteria related to the performance of the county’s drought-related objectives and measures. According to the relationship between the county’s drought-related vulnerability and policy performance, the counties were classified into four types. The main results show that several counties fail the target by overestimating the role of drought prevention, with little vulnerability index. In contrast, many counties are not adequately prepared for the impacts of drought, despite their high vulnerability index.

Suggested Citation

  • Attila Buzási & Tamás Pálvölgyi & Diána Esses, 2021. "Drought-related vulnerability and its policy implications in Hungary," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 1-20, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:26:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11027-021-09943-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11027-021-09943-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Julia Urquijo & David Pereira & Susana Dias & Lucia De Stefano, 2017. "A methodology to assess drought management as applied to six European case studies," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 246-269, March.
    2. Donald Wilhite & Mark Svoboda & Michael Hayes, 2007. "Understanding the complex impacts of drought: A key to enhancing drought mitigation and preparedness," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(5), pages 763-774, May.
    3. James D. Ford & Tristan Pearce & Graham McDowell & Lea Berrang-Ford & Jesse S. Sayles & Ella Belfer, 2018. "Vulnerability and its discontents: the past, present, and future of climate change vulnerability research," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(2), pages 189-203, November.
    4. Giovanni Forzieri & Luc Feyen & Simone Russo & Michalis Vousdoukas & Lorenzo Alfieri & Stephen Outten & Mirco Migliavacca & Alessandra Bianchi & Rodrigo Rojas & Alba Cid, 2016. "Multi-hazard assessment in Europe under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(1), pages 105-119, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Potopová, V. & Trifan, T. & Trnka, M. & De Michele, C. & Semerádová, D. & Fischer, M. & Meitner, J. & Musiolková, M. & Muntean, N. & Clothier, B., 2023. "Copulas modelling of maize yield losses – drought compound events using the multiple remote sensing indices over the Danube River Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).

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