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Impacts of climate change on water resources in the Yellow River basin and identification of global adaptation strategies

Author

Listed:
  • Guoqing Wang

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Jianyun Zhang

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Junliang Jin

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Josh Weinberg

    (Stockholm International Water Institute)

  • Zhenxin Bao

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Cuishan Liu

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Yanli Liu

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Xiaolin Yan

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Xiaomeng Song

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

  • Ran Zhai

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute)

Abstract

Climate change is a global environmental issue, which is challenging water resources management and practices. This study investigates the impact of climate change on water resources of the Yellow River basin, a major grain-producing area in China, and provides recommendations on strategies to increase adaptive capacity and resilience in the basin region. Results show that the recorded stream flows of the Yellow River declined from 1951 to 2010 and have decreased significantly in the middle and lower reaches. The variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model performs well as a tool to simulate monthly discharge of both the tributary catchments and the whole Yellow River basin. Temperature across the Yellow River basin over 2021–2050 is expected to continue to rise with an average rates of approximately 0.039–0.056 °C/annum. The average annual precipitation in the basin is projected to increase by 1.28–3.29 % compared with the 1991–2010 baseline. Runoff during 2021–2050 is projected to decrease by 0.53–9.67 % relative to 1991–2010 with high decadal and spatial variability. This is likely due to the model’s projections of a significant rise in temperature and changes in precipitation patterns. Climate change will likely aggravate the severity and frequency of both water shortages and flooding in the basin region. It is therefore essential to devote sufficient attention on structural and non-structural measures for the Yellow River basin to cope with climate change. At the global level, strategies to increase adaptive capacity and build resilience to climate change focus on public education to improve awareness of climate risks, implementing the integrated water resources management and planning based on impact assessments.

Suggested Citation

  • Guoqing Wang & Jianyun Zhang & Junliang Jin & Josh Weinberg & Zhenxin Bao & Cuishan Liu & Yanli Liu & Xiaolin Yan & Xiaomeng Song & Ran Zhai, 2017. "Impacts of climate change on water resources in the Yellow River basin and identification of global adaptation strategies," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 67-83, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:22:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11027-015-9664-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11027-015-9664-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. P. C. D. Milly & K. A. Dunne & A. V. Vecchia, 2005. "Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 438(7066), pages 347-350, November.
    2. Gabriella Szépszó & Imke Lingemann & Bastian Klein & Mária Kovács, 2014. "Impact of climate change on hydrological conditions of Rhine and Upper Danube rivers based on the results of regional climate and hydrological models," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(1), pages 241-262, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. J. Sun & Y. P. Li & X. W. Zhuang & S.W. Jin & G. H. Huang & R. F. Feng, 2018. "Identifying water resources management strategies in adaptation to climate change under uncertainty," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 553-578, April.
    2. Liu, Yanqi & Lin, Yifan & Huo, Zailin & Zhang, Chenglong & Wang, Chaozi & Xue, Jingyuan & Huang, Guanhua, 2022. "Spatio-temporal variation of irrigation water requirements for wheat and maize in the Yellow River Basin, China, 1974–2017," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).

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