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Impact of climate change on regional irrigation water demand in Baojixia irrigation district of China

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  • Xiao-jun Wang
  • Jian-yun Zhang
  • Mahtab Ali
  • Shamsuddin Shahid
  • Rui-min He
  • Xing-hui Xia
  • Zhuo Jiang

Abstract

Water scarcity in China would possibly be aggravated by rapid increase in water demand for irrigation due to climate change. This paper focuses on the mechanism of climate change impact on regional irrigation water demand by considering the dynamic feedback relationships among climate change, irrigation water demand and adaptation measures. The model in implemented using system dynamics approach and employed in Baojixia irrigation district located in Shaanxi Province of China to analyses the changes in irrigation water demand under different climate change scenarios. Obtained results revealed that temperature will be the dominant factor to determine irrigation water demand in the area. An increase of temperature by 1 °C will result in net irrigation water demand to increase by about 12,050 × 10 4 m 3 and gross water demand by about 20,080 × 10 4 m 3 in the area. However, irrigation water demand will not increase at the same rate of temperature rise as the adaptation measures will eventually reduce the water demand increased by temperature rise. It is expected that the modeling approach presented in this study can be used in adopting policy responses to reduce climate change impacts on water resources. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2016

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao-jun Wang & Jian-yun Zhang & Mahtab Ali & Shamsuddin Shahid & Rui-min He & Xing-hui Xia & Zhuo Jiang, 2016. "Impact of climate change on regional irrigation water demand in Baojixia irrigation district of China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 233-247, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:21:y:2016:i:2:p:233-247
    DOI: 10.1007/s11027-014-9594-z
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    1. Kathleen Miller & Valerie Belton, 2014. "Water resource management and climate change adaptation: a holistic and multiple criteria perspective," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 289-308, March.
    2. De Silva, C.S. & Weatherhead, E.K. & Knox, J.W. & Rodriguez-Diaz, J.A., 2007. "Predicting the impacts of climate change--A case study of paddy irrigation water requirements in Sri Lanka," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(1-2), pages 19-29, October.
    3. Amgad Elmahdi & Hector Malano & Teri Etchells, 2007. "Using system dynamics to model water-reallocation," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 3-12, March.
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    2. Golam Saleh Ahmed Salem & So Kazama & Shamsuddin Shahid & Nepal C. Dey, 2018. "Groundwater-dependent irrigation costs and benefits for adaptation to global change," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 953-979, August.
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    4. Potopová, V. & Trnka, M. & Vizina, A. & Semerádová, D. & Balek, J. & Chawdhery, M.R.A. & Musiolková, M. & Pavlík, P. & Možný, M. & Štěpánek, P. & Clothier, B., 2022. "Projection of 21st century irrigation water requirements for sensitive agricultural crop commodities across the Czech Republic," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
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    6. Saleem A. Salman & Shamsuddin Shahid & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan & Mohammed Sanusi Shiru & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2020. "Changes in Climatic Water Availability and Crop Water Demand for Iraq Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-20, April.

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