IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/joptap/v201y2024i3d10.1007_s10957-024-02436-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust Bond Portfolio Construction via Convex–Concave Saddle Point Optimization

Author

Listed:
  • Eric Luxenberg

    (Stanford University)

  • Philipp Schiele

    (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)

  • Stephen Boyd

    (Stanford University)

Abstract

The minimum (worst case) value of a long-only portfolio of bonds, over a convex set of yield curves and spreads, can be estimated by its sensitivities to the points on the yield curve. We show that sensitivity based estimates are conservative, i.e., underestimate the worst case value, and that the exact worst case value can be found by solving a tractable convex optimization problem. We then show how to construct a long-only bond portfolio that includes the worst case value in its objective or as a constraint, using convex–concave saddle point optimization.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Luxenberg & Philipp Schiele & Stephen Boyd, 2024. "Robust Bond Portfolio Construction via Convex–Concave Saddle Point Optimization," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 201(3), pages 1089-1115, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joptap:v:201:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10957-024-02436-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10957-024-02436-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10957-024-02436-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10957-024-02436-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R.H. Tütüncü & M. Koenig, 2004. "Robust Asset Allocation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 132(1), pages 157-187, November.
    2. Jang Ho Kim & Woo Chang Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2014. "Recent Developments in Robust Portfolios with a Worst-Case Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 103-121, April.
    3. Damir Filipović & Markus Pelger & Ye Ye, 2022. "Stripping the Discount Curve - a Robust Machine Learning Approach," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-24, Swiss Finance Institute.
    4. Michael Puhle, 2008. "Bond Portfolio Optimization," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-76593-6, July.
    5. Korn, Olaf & Koziol, Christian, 2006. "Bond portfolio optimization: A risk-return approach," CFR Working Papers 06-03, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    6. Stephen Boyd & Enzo Busseti & Steven Diamond & Ronald N. Kahn & Kwangmoo Koh & Peter Nystrup & Jan Speth, 2017. "Multi-Period Trading via Convex Optimization," Papers 1705.00109, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eric Luxenberg & Philipp Schiele & Stephen Boyd, 2022. "Robust Bond Portfolio Construction via Convex-Concave Saddle Point Optimization," Papers 2212.02570, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    2. Maillet, Bertrand & Tokpavi, Sessi & Vaucher, Benoit, 2015. "Global minimum variance portfolio optimisation under some model risk: A robust regression-based approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 289-299.
    3. Ashrafi, Hedieh & Thiele, Aurélie C., 2021. "A study of robust portfolio optimization with European options using polyhedral uncertainty sets," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 8(C).
    4. Costa, Oswaldo L.V. & de Oliveira Ribeiro, Celma & Rego, Erik Eduardo & Stern, Julio Michael & Parente, Virginia & Kileber, Solange, 2017. "Robust portfolio optimization for electricity planning: An application based on the Brazilian electricity mix," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 158-169.
    5. F. Cong & C. W. Oosterlee, 2017. "On Robust Multi-Period Pre-Commitment And Time-Consistent Mean-Variance Portfolio Optimization," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(07), pages 1-26, November.
    6. Konstantinos Bisiotis & Stelios Psarakis & Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos, 2022. "Affine Term Structure Models: Applications in Portfolio Optimization and Change Point Detection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-33, November.
    7. Kim, Woo Chang & Kim, Jang Ho & Mulvey, John M. & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2015. "Focusing on the worst state for robust investing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 19-31.
    8. Yaacov Kopeliovich, 2015. "Optimal Portfolios Of Corporate Bonds And Hold To Maturity Strategies," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-34, December.
    9. Meade, N. & Beasley, J.E. & Adcock, C.J., 2021. "Quantitative portfolio selection: Using density forecasting to find consistent portfolios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(3), pages 1053-1067.
    10. Fernandes, Betina & Street, Alexandre & Valladão, Davi & Fernandes, Cristiano, 2016. "An adaptive robust portfolio optimization model with loss constraints based on data-driven polyhedral uncertainty sets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 255(3), pages 961-970.
    11. Kim, Woo Chang & Kim, Jang Ho & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2014. "Deciphering robust portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-8.
    12. Yuanyuan Zhang & Xiang Li & Sini Guo, 2018. "Portfolio selection problems with Markowitz’s mean–variance framework: a review of literature," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-158, June.
    13. Shashank Oberoi & Mohammed Bilal Girach & Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty, 2020. "Can Robust Optimization Offer Improved Portfolio Performance? An Empirical Study of Indian market," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 611-630, September.
    14. P. Xidonas & C. Hassapis & G. Bouzianis & C. Staikouras, 2018. "An Integrated Matching-Immunization Model for Bond Portfolio Optimization," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 595-605, March.
    15. Zhilin Kang & Zhongfei Li, 2018. "An exact solution to a robust portfolio choice problem with multiple risk measures under ambiguous distribution," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 87(2), pages 169-195, April.
    16. Jang Ho Kim & Woo Chang Kim & Do-Gyun Kwon & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2018. "Robust equity portfolio performance," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 293-312, July.
    17. van Staden, Pieter M. & Dang, Duy-Minh & Forsyth, Peter A., 2021. "The surprising robustness of dynamic Mean-Variance portfolio optimization to model misspecification errors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 774-792.
    18. Jang Ho Kim & Woo Chang Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2018. "Recent advancements in robust optimization for investment management," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 183-198, July.
    19. Alireza Ghahtarani & Ahmed Saif & Alireza Ghasemi, 2022. "Robust portfolio selection problems: a comprehensive review," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 3203-3264, September.
    20. Balter, Anne G. & Mahayni, Antje & Schweizer, Nikolaus, 2021. "Time-consistency of optimal investment under smooth ambiguity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(2), pages 643-657.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:joptap:v:201:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10957-024-02436-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.