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The impact of pension reform on employment, retirement, and disability insurance claims

Author

Listed:
  • Erik Hernæs

    (The Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research)

  • Simen Markussen

    (The Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research)

  • John Piggott

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Knut Røed

    (The Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research)

Abstract

We evaluate the 2011 comprehensive reform of Norwegian early retirement institutions using a parsimonious random utility choice model. Conditional on employment at age 60, we estimate a three-state conditional logit model to explain the realized labor market state at age 63 among the alternatives of employment, retirement, and disability program participation. The reform radically changed work incentives and/or pension access age for some (but not all) workers, such that the influence of economic incentives can be identified based on reform-generated variation only. We find that improved work incentives caused employment rates to rise considerably at the expense of early retirement and exit through disability insurance. Improved liquidity through a lower age to access own pension funds on actuarially neutral terms caused a small increase in employment and a large drop in disability program participation. Properly designed pension reforms thus need to take the interplay between old-age pension and disability insurance programs into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Erik Hernæs & Simen Markussen & John Piggott & Knut Røed, 2024. "The impact of pension reform on employment, retirement, and disability insurance claims," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 1-27, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:37:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s00148-024-01052-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-024-01052-5
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pension reform; Disability insurance; Program substitution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply

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