IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jecfin/v41y2017i2d10.1007_s12197-015-9341-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Factors driving systemic risk of banks in Latin America

Author

Listed:
  • Jacob Kleinow

    (Universidad Nacional de Colombia
    Technische Universität Bergakademie Freiberg)

  • Andreas Horsch

    (Technische Universität Bergakademie Freiberg)

  • Mario Garcia-Molina

    (Universidad Nacional de Colombia)

Abstract

We investigate the drivers of systemic risk and contagion among banks in the Latin American financial sector. First, a systemic risk measure analysing tail co-movements of daily stock returns of all Latin American banks is derived. We then run panel regressions for our systemic risk measure using idiosyncratic bank characteristics and macroeconomic control variables. Our results include various significant drivers of systemic importance of banks in Latin America like bank size, market concentration and high government indebtedness. Interestingly, we empirically prove that during the financial/economic crisis (2006–2011) systemic risk was driven by banks with low earning prospects and relatively sound deposit management whereas poor capital regulation drove systemic risk of banks during the stable periods before (2003–2005) and after the crisis (2012–2014).

Suggested Citation

  • Jacob Kleinow & Andreas Horsch & Mario Garcia-Molina, 2017. "Factors driving systemic risk of banks in Latin America," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 211-234, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:41:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-015-9341-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-015-9341-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12197-015-9341-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12197-015-9341-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laeven, Luc & Levine, Ross, 2007. "Is there a diversification discount in financial conglomerates?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 331-367, August.
    2. Beck, Thorsten & De Jonghe, Olivier & Schepens, Glenn, 2013. "Bank competition and stability: Cross-country heterogeneity," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 218-244.
    3. Carlos Léon & Clara Machado & Freddy Cepeda & Miguel Sarmiento, 2011. "Too-connected-to-fail Institutions and Payments System’s Stability: Assessing Challenges for Financial Authorities," Borradores de Economia 644, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Kay Giesecke & Baeho Kim, 2011. "Systemic Risk: What Defaults Are Telling Us," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(8), pages 1387-1405, August.
    5. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    6. Carlos León & Andrés Murcia, 2012. "Systemic Importance Index for financial institutions: A Principal Component Analysis approach," Borradores de Economia 741, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Billio, Monica & Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2012. "Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 535-559.
    8. Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 2000. "Financial Contagion," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(1), pages 1-33, February.
    9. Mardi Dungey & Matteo Luciani & David Veredas, 2012. "Ranking Systemically Important Financial Institutions," CAMA Working Papers 2012-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    10. Flannery, Mark J. & Kwan, Simon H. & Nimalendran, Mahendrarajah, 2013. "The 2007–2009 financial crisis and bank opaqueness," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 55-84.
    11. Brenda González-Hermosillo & Ceyla Pazarbaşioğlu & Robert Billings, 1997. "Determinants of Banking System Fragility: A Case Study of Mexico," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(3), pages 295-314, September.
    12. De Jonghe, Olivier & Diepstraten, Maaike & Schepens, Glenn, 2015. "Banks’ size, scope and systemic risk: What role for conflicts of interest?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 3-13.
    13. Dimitrios Bisias & Mark Flood & Andrew W. Lo & Stavros Valavanis, 2012. "A Survey of Systemic Risk Analytics," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 255-296, October.
    14. Reint Gropp & Christian Gruendl & Andre Guettler, 2014. "The Impact of Public Guarantees on Bank Risk-Taking: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(2), pages 457-488.
    15. Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2009. "Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-2008," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(1), pages 77-100, Winter.
    16. Benjamin M. Tabak & Sergio R. S. Souza & Solange M. Guerra, 2013. "Assessing Systemic Risk in the Brazilian Interbank Market," Working Papers Series 318, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    17. repec:eca:wpaper:2013/130530 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Asl? Demirgüç-Kunt & Edward J. Kane & Luc Laeven (ed.), 2008. "Deposit Insurance around the World: Issues of Design and Implementation," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262042541, April.
    19. Demsetz, Rebecca S & Strahan, Philip E, 1997. "Diversification, Size, and Risk at Bank Holding Companies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(3), pages 300-313, August.
    20. Jacob Kleinow & Tobias Nell & Silvia Rogler & Andreas Horsch, 2014. "The value of being systemically important: event study on regulatory announcements for banks," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(24), pages 1585-1604, December.
    21. James R. Barth & Gerard Caprio & Ross Levine, 2013. "Bank regulation and supervision in 180 countries from 1999 to 2011," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(2), pages 111-219, May.
    22. Mauricio Arias & Juan Carlos Mendoza & David Perez-Reyna, 2011. "Applying CoVaR to measure systemic market risk: the Colombian case," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Initiatives to address data gaps revealed by the financial crisis", Basel, 25-26 August 2010, volume 34, pages 351-364, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Jennifer S. Crystal & B. Gerard Dages & Linda S. Goldberg, 2001. "Does foreign ownership contribute to sounder banks in emerging markets? the Latin American experience," Staff Reports 137, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    24. Paola Bongini & Laura Nieri, 2014. "Identifying and Regulating Systemically Important Financial Institutions," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 43(1), pages 39-62, February.
    25. Rebecca Demsetz & Marc R. Saidenberg & Philip E. Strahan, 1996. "Banks with something to lose: the disciplinary role of franchise value," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 2(Oct), pages 1-14.
    26. Fiordelisi, Franco & Marqués-Ibañez, David, 2013. "Is bank default risk systematic?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2000-2010.
    27. Christian Weistroffer, 2011. "Identifying Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFIs)," Working Papers id:4383, eSocialSciences.
    28. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & Galvão, Délio José Cordeiro & Loures, Renato Falci Villela, 2013. "Credit and bank opaqueness: How to avoid financial crises?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 605-612.
    29. Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Bostandzic, Denefa & Neumann, Sascha, 2014. "What factors drive systemic risk during international financial crises?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 78-96.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2019. "An explorative analysis of Italy banking financial stability," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 1294-1308.
    2. Daniil P. Frolov & Anna V. Lavrentyeva, 2019. "Regulatory Policy for Digital Economy- Holistic Institutional Framework," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 15(4), pages 33-44.
    3. Johannes K. Dreyer & Peter A. Schmid & Victoria Zugrav, 2018. "Individual, Systematic and Systemic Risks in the Danish Banking Sector," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(4), pages 320-350, September.
    4. Massimiliano Caporin & Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2022. "What drives the expansion of research on banking crises? Cross-country evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(52), pages 6054-6064, November.
    5. Michel Alexandre & Thiago Christiano Silva & Colm Connaughton & Francisco A. Rodrigues, 2021. "The Role of (non-)Topological Features as Drivers of Systemic Risk: a machine learning approach," Working Papers Series 556, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    6. Alexandre, Michel & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Connaughton, Colm & Rodrigues, Francisco A., 2021. "The drivers of systemic risk in financial networks: a data-driven machine learning analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    7. Lafuente, Esteban & Vaillant, Yancy & Vendrell-Herrero, Ferran, 2019. "Conformance and performance roles of bank boards: The connection between non-performing loans and non-performing directorships," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 664-673.
    8. Shumaila Zeb & Abdul Rashid, 2019. "Systemic risk in financial institutions of BRICS: measurement and identification of firm-specific determinants," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 243-264, December.
    9. Michael Asiedu & Nana Adwoa Anokye Effah & Benedict Arthur, 2024. "Innovation and Firm Productivity in Central America," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 4639-4672, March.
    10. Hasan Hanif & Muhammad Naveed & David McMillan, 2020. "Dynamic modeling of idiosyncratic risk under economic sensitivity. A case of Pakistan," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1838734-183, January.
    11. Narayan, Shivani & Kumar, Dilip & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Systemically important financial institutions and drivers of systemic risk: Evidence from India," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jacob Kleinow & Tobias Nell, 2015. "Determinants of systemically important banks: the case of Europe," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(4), pages 446-476, November.
    2. Kleinow, Jacob & Moreira, Fernando, 2016. "Systemic risk among European banks: A copula approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 27-42.
    3. De Jonghe, Olivier & Diepstraten, Maaike & Schepens, Glenn, 2015. "Banks’ size, scope and systemic risk: What role for conflicts of interest?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 3-13.
    4. Silva, Walmir & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2017. "An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 91-114.
    5. Moratis, Georgios & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2021. "Measuring the systemic importance of banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Jeon, Bang Nam & Wu, Ji & Chen, Limei & Chen, Minghua, 2020. "Diversification, efficiency and risk of banks: New consolidating evidence from emerging economies," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2020-10, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    7. Silva-Buston, Consuelo, 2019. "Systemic risk and competition revisited," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 188-205.
    8. Baselga-Pascual, Laura & Trujillo-Ponce, Antonio & Cardone-Riportella, Clara, 2015. "Factors influencing bank risk in Europe: Evidence from the financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 138-166.
    9. Wu, Ji & Guo, Mengmeng & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2019. "Market power and risk-taking of banks: Some semiparametric evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    10. Alin Marius Andrieş & Simona Nistor, 2018. "Systemic Risk and Foreign Currency Positions of Banks: Evidence from Emerging Europe," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(5), pages 382-421, September.
    11. Ebrahimi Kahou, Mahdi & Lehar, Alfred, 2017. "Macroprudential policy: A review," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 92-105.
    12. Greg Niehaus & Jannes Rauch & Sabine Wende, 2019. "Regulation and the connectedness of insurers to the banking sector: International evidence," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 22(4), pages 393-420, December.
    13. Ellis, Scott & Sharma, Satish & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "Systemic risk measures and regulatory challenges," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    14. Buch, Claudia M. & Krause, Thomas & Tonzer, Lena, 2019. "Drivers of systemic risk: Do national and European perspectives differ?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 160-176.
    15. I�aki Aldasoro & Ignazio Angeloni, 2015. "Input-output-based measures of systemic importance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 589-606, April.
    16. Yun, Tae-Sub & Jeong, Deokjong & Park, Sunyoung, 2019. "“Too central to fail” systemic risk measure using PageRank algorithm," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 251-272.
    17. Badarau, Cristina & Lapteacru, Ion, 2020. "Bank risk, competition and bank connectedness with firms: A literature review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    18. Anginer, Deniz & Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli & Mare, Davide S., 2018. "Bank capital, institutional environment and systemic stability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 97-106.
    19. Samarasinghe, Ama, 2023. "Stock market liquidity and bank stability," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Troster, Victor & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yahya, Muhammad, 2022. "Systemic risk contribution of banks and non-bank financial institutions across frequencies: The Australian experience," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Too big to fail; Systemic risk; Latin America; SIFI; Marginal expected shortfall (MES); Conditional value at risk (CoVaR);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:41:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-015-9341-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.