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Road traffic flow and air pollution concentrations: evidence from Japan

Author

Listed:
  • Shuhei Nishitateno

    (Kwansei Gakuin University
    Trade and Industry)

  • Paul J. Burke

    (Australian National University)

  • Toshi H. Arimura

    (Waseda University)

Abstract

Vehicular emissions are a major global health concern. The aim of this study is to examine the short-term relationship between road traffic flows and air pollution concentrations in Japan. Our approach involves matching hourly data from the 2015 Road Traffic Census to data from nearby air pollution monitoring and meteorological stations and estimating a dynamic panel model. We focus on four pollutants designated under the vehicle emission standards of Japan: nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), nonmethane hydrocarbons (NMHC), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). The standard estimates indicate that short-run pollution concentration-road traffic flow elasticities are 0.04–0.05 for NOx, CO, and NMHC, and insignificant for PM2.5. Long-term effects are also estimated. We apply the estimates to a case study on the link between road traffic flows and meeting the new World Health Organization air quality guidelines.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuhei Nishitateno & Paul J. Burke & Toshi H. Arimura, 2024. "Road traffic flow and air pollution concentrations: evidence from Japan," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 357-385, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:ijoeps:v:18:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s42495-024-00132-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s42495-024-00132-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nishitateno, Shuhei & Burke, Paul J., 2021. "Willingness to pay for clean air: Evidence from diesel vehicle registration restrictions in Japan," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    3. Shuhei Nishitateno & Paul J. Burke, 2024. "Effects of Low Emission Zones on Air Quality, New Vehicle Registrations, and Birthweights: Evidence from Japan," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(7), pages 1955-1992, July.
    4. Zhang, Tong & Burke, Paul J., 2020. "The effect of fuel prices on traffic flows: Evidence from New South Wales," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 502-522.
    5. Shuhei Nishitateno & Paul J. Burke, 2020. "Have Vehicle Registration Restrictions Improved Urban Air Quality In Japan?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(3), pages 448-459, July.
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