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Equilibrium model with default and dynamic insider information

Author

Listed:
  • Luciano Campi
  • Umut Çetin
  • Albina Danilova

Abstract

We consider an equilibrium model à la Kyle–Back for a defaultable claim issued by a given firm. In such a market the insider observes continuously in time the value of the firm, which is unobservable by the market makers. Using the construction in Campi et al. ( http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00534273/en/ , 2011 ) of a dynamic three-dimensional Bessel bridge, we provide the equilibrium price and the insider’s optimal strategy. As in Campi and Çetin (Finance Stoch. 11:591–602, 2007 ), the information released by the insider while trading optimally makes the default time predictable in the market’s view at the equilibrium. We conclude the paper by comparing the insider’s expected profits in the static and dynamic private information case. We also compute explicitly the value of the insider’s information in the special cases of a defaultable stock and a bond. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Luciano Campi & Umut Çetin & Albina Danilova, 2013. "Equilibrium model with default and dynamic insider information," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 565-585, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:17:y:2013:i:3:p:565-585
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-012-0196-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Back, Kerry & Pedersen, Hal, 1998. "Long-lived information and intraday patterns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(3-4), pages 385-402, September.
    2. Luciano Campi & Umut Çetin, 2007. "Insider trading in an equilibrium model with default: a passage from reduced-form to structural modelling," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 591-602, October.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4436 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Campi, Luciano & Cetin, Umut & Danilova, Albina, 2011. "Dynamic Markov bridges motivated by models of insider trading," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 31538, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Back, Kerry, 1992. "Insider Trading in Continuous Time," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(3), pages 387-409.
    6. Campi, Luciano & Çetin, Umut & Danilova, Albina, 2011. "Dynamic Markov bridges motivated by models of insider trading," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 534-567, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. José Manuel Corcuera & Giulia Nunno & José Fajardo, 2019. "Kyle equilibrium under random price pressure," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(1), pages 77-101, June.
    2. Cheng Li & Hao Xing, 2013. "Asymptotic Glosten Milgrom equilibrium," Papers 1310.4994, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
    3. José Manuel Corcuera & Giulia Di Nunno, 2018. "Kyle–Back’S Model With A Random Horizon," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(02), pages 1-41, March.
    4. Luke M. Bennett & Wei Hu, 2023. "Filtration enlargement‐based time series forecast in view of insider trading," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 112-140, February.
    5. Umut c{C}etin & Alaina Danilova, 2022. "Order routing and market quality: Who benefits from internalisation?," Papers 2212.07827, arXiv.org.
    6. Jos'e M. Corcuera & Giulia Di Nunno, 2020. "Path-dependent Kyle equilibrium model," Papers 2006.06395, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    7. Abel Azze & Bernardo D'Auria & Eduardo Garc'ia-Portugu'es, 2022. "Optimal stopping of Gauss-Markov bridges," Papers 2211.05835, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    8. Jos'e Manuel Corcuera & Giulia Di Nunno & Gergely Farkas & Bernt {O}ksendal, 2014. "A continuous auction model with insiders and random time of information release," Papers 1411.2835, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    9. Cetin, Umut & Danilova, Albina, 2021. "On pricing rules and optimal strategies in general Kyle-Back models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113003, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Li, Cheng & Xing, Hao, 2015. "Asymptotic Glosten-Milgrom equilibrium," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60579, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Umut c{C}etin & Albina Danilova, 2018. "On pricing rules and optimal strategies in general Kyle-Back models," Papers 1812.07529, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Default time; Defaultable claim; Equilibrium; Dynamic information; Insider trading; Dynamic Bessel bridge; 60G44; 60H05; 60H10; 93E11; D82; G14;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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