IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/eurpop/v35y2019i1d10.1007_s10680-017-9462-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Re-urbanizing the European City: A Multivariate Analysis of Population Dynamics During Expansion and Recession Times

Author

Listed:
  • Luca Salvati

    (Research Centre for Forestry and Wood
    “Sapienza” University of Rome)

  • Pere Serra

    (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)

  • Massimiliano Bencardino

    (University of Salerno)

  • Margherita Carlucci

    (“Sapienza” University of Rome)

Abstract

After a long phase of suburbanization promoting economic decentralization and uneven expansion of urban rings, re-urbanization has been observed in an increasing number of European cities. However, a comprehensive analysis of demographic dynamics underlying spatial patterns—and factors—of re-urbanization is still lacking for the European continent. This study contributes to fill this knowledge gap by proposing a comparative analysis of population dynamics at two spatial scales (‘inner cities’ and ‘large urban zones’) in 129 European metropolitan regions under economic expansion (2000–2007) and recession (2008–2014). Non-parametric correlations, principal component analysis, and stepwise multiple regressions were used to identify different spatial patterns of population growth at continental and regional scale in Europe. The number of cities studied that showed a trend towards re-urbanization increased from 36 in 2000–2007 to 47% in 2008–2014. Positive rates of population growth in inner cities were found to be associated with high levels of disposable per capita income at the metropolitan scale. During recession, spatial differences in population growth rates were suggestive of a moderate rearrangement towards re-urbanization in northern and central Europe and less polarized metropolitan regions, with declining population in inner cities of southern and eastern Europe. Based on peculiar demographic dynamics found in the study area, the analysis performed brings useful insights to the debate about the future development of European cities.

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Salvati & Pere Serra & Massimiliano Bencardino & Margherita Carlucci, 2019. "Re-urbanizing the European City: A Multivariate Analysis of Population Dynamics During Expansion and Recession Times," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(1), pages 1-28, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:35:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10680-017-9462-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10680-017-9462-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10680-017-9462-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10680-017-9462-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paul Cheshire, 1995. "A New Phase of Urban Development in Western Europe? The Evidence for the 1980s," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 32(7), pages 1045-1063, August.
    2. W.F. Lever, 1993. "Reurbanisation—The Policy Implications," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(2), pages 267-284, March.
    3. Jordi Bayona-Carrasco & Fernando Gil-Alonso, 2012. "Suburbanisation And International Immigration: The Case Of The Barcelona Metropolitan Region (1998–2009)," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 103(3), pages 312-329, July.
    4. Cristina Martinez‐Fernandez & Ivonne Audirac & Sylvie Fol & Emmanuèle Cunningham‐Sabot, 2012. "Shrinking Cities: Urban Challenges of Globalization," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 213-225, March.
    5. Patrick Rérat, 2012. "The New Demographic Growth of Cities," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 49(5), pages 1107-1125, April.
    6. Mark D. Partridge & Dan S. Rickman & Kamar Ali & M. Rose Olfert, 2009. "Do New Economic Geography agglomeration shadows underlie current population dynamics across the urban hierarchy?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(2), pages 445-466, June.
    7. Hans Thor Andersen & Lasse Møller-Jensen & Sten Engelstoft, 2011. "The End of Urbanization? Towards a New Urban Concept or Rethinking Urbanization," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 595-611, April.
    8. Gerhard Hatz, 2009. "Features And Dynamics Of Socio‐Spatial Differentiation In Vienna And The Vienna Metropolitan Region," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 100(4), pages 485-501, September.
    9. A.G. Champion, 2001. "A Changing Demographic Regime and Evolving Poly centric Urban Regions: Consequences for the Size, Composition and Distribution of City Populations," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 38(4), pages 657-677, April.
    10. Annemarie Schneider & Curtis E. Woodcock, 2008. "Compact, Dispersed, Fragmented, Extensive? A Comparison of Urban Growth in Twenty-five Global Cities using Remotely Sensed Data, Pattern Metrics and Census Information," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 45(3), pages 659-692, March.
    11. Richard Florida & Tim Gulden & Charlotta Mellander, 2008. "The rise of the mega-region," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 1(3), pages 459-476.
    12. Luca Salvati, 2013. "From compactness to what? Long-term population trends in six large Mediterranean cities," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(6), pages 826-849, July.
    13. Vittorio Gargiulo Morelli & Kostas Rontos & Luca Salvati, 2014. "Between suburbanisation and re-urbanisation: revisiting the urban life cycle in a Mediterranean compact city," Urban Research & Practice, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 74-88, January.
    14. Ron Martin, 2011. "The local geographies of the financial crisis: from the housing bubble to economic recession and beyond," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 587-618, July.
    15. Luca Salvati & Vittorio Gargiulo Morelli, 2014. "Unveiling Urban Sprawl in the Mediterranean Region: Towards a Latent Urban Transformation?," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(6), pages 1935-1953, November.
    16. Peter Hall, 1997. "The Future of the Metropolis and its Form," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 211-220.
    17. Vernon Henderson & Anthony Venables, 2009. "Dynamics of city formation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 233-254, April.
    18. Christian Longhi & Antonio Musolesi, 2007. "European cities in the process of economic integration: towards structural convergence," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 41(2), pages 333-351, June.
    19. Roberta Capello & Andrea Caragliu & Ugo Fratesi, 2015. "Spatial heterogeneity in the costs of the economic crisis in Europe: are cities sources of regional resilience?," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(5), pages 951-972.
    20. Lewis Dijkstra & Enrique Garcilazo & Philip McCann, 2015. "The effects of the global financial crisis on European regions and cities," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(5), pages 935-949.
    21. Luca Salvati & Margherita Carlucci, 2015. "Land-use structure, urban growth, and periurban landscape: a multivariate classification of the European cities," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 42(5), pages 801-829, September.
    22. Nadja Kabisch & Dagmar Haase & Annegret Haase, 2010. "Evolving Reurbanisation? Spatio-temporal Dynamics as Exemplified by the East German City of Leipzig," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 47(5), pages 967-990, May.
    23. Stefan Buzar & Philip Ogden & Ray Hall & Annegret Haase & Sigrun Kabisch & Annett Steinfiihrer, 2007. "Splintering Urban Populations: Emergent Landscapes of Reurbanisation in Four European Cities," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 44(4), pages 651-677, April.
    24. Tim Butler, 2007. "Re‐urbanizing London Docklands: Gentrification, Suburbanization or New Urbanism?," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 759-781, December.
    25. Cohen, Barney, 2006. "Urbanization in developing countries: Current trends, future projections, and key challenges for sustainability," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 63-80.
    26. Luca Salvati & Adele Sateriano & Eftathios Grigoriadis, 2016. "Crisis and the city: profiling urban growth under economic expansion and stagnation," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 329-342, October.
    27. Michael Storper & Allen J. Scott, 2009. "Rethinking human capital, creativity and urban growth," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 147-167, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cattivelli, Valentina, 2020. "Planning peri-urban areas at regional level: The experience of Lombardy and Emilia-Romagna," MPRA Paper 101189, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Cattivelli, Valentina, 2021. "Planning peri-urban areas at regional level: The experience of Lombardy and Emilia-Romagna (Italy)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    3. Yaming Zhang & Xiaoyu Guo & Yanyuan Su & Yaya Hamadou Koura H & Na Wang & Wenjie Song, 2023. "Changes in spatiotemporal pattern and network characteristics in population migration of China’s cities before and after COVID-19," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Zhong-zhen Yang & Sun Yu & Feng Lian, 2021. "Online shopping versus in-store shopping and its implications for urbanization in China: based on the shopping behaviors of students relocated to a remote campus," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 2846-2866, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Margherita Carlucci & Francesco Maria Chelli & Luca Salvati, 2018. "Toward a New Cycle: Short-Term Population Dynamics, Gentrification, and Re-Urbanization of Milan (Italy)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-12, August.
    2. Salvati, Luca & Sateriano, Adele & Grigoriadis, Efstathios & Carlucci, Margherita, 2017. "New wine in old bottles: The (changing) socioeconomic attributes of sprawl during building boom and stagnation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 361-372.
    3. Salvati, Luca, 2020. "Residential mobility and the local context: Comparing long-term and short-term spatial trends of population movements in Greece," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Kostas Rontos & Enrico Maria Mosconi & Mattia Gianvincenzi & Simona Moretti & Luca Salvati, 2023. "Toward a Spatially Segregated Urban Growth? Austerity, Poverty, and the Demographic Decline of Metropolitan Greece," Data, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Gianluca Egidi & Enrico Maria Mosconi & Stefano Poponi & Ahmed Alhuseen & Luca Salvati, 2020. "Uncovering Demographic Trends and Recent Urban Expansion in Metropolitan Regions: A Paradigmatic Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-15, May.
    6. Luca Salvati, 2022. "Endogenous Population Dynamics and Metropolitan Cycles: Long-Term Evidence from Athens, an Eternally Mediterranean City," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 38(5), pages 835-860, December.
    7. Sirio Cividino & Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Luca Salvati, 2020. "Revisiting the “City Life Cycle”: Global Urbanization and Implications for Regional Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, February.
    8. Kostas RONTOS & Marco ZITTI & Luca SALVATI, 2017. "Past, Present And Future: Expansion With (And Without) Growth In Urban Systems Under A Structural Crisis," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 12(3), pages 16-31, April.
    9. Rosanna Salvia & Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Sirio Cividino & Luca Salvati & Giovanni Quaranta, 2020. "From Rural Spaces to Peri-Urban Districts: Metropolitan Growth, Sparse Settlements and Demographic Dynamics in a Mediterranean Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-20, June.
    10. Luca Salvati, 2020. "Envisaging long-term urban dynamics: a spatially explicit analysis of local-scale population growth and natural balance," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 165-186, August.
    11. Luca Salvati, 2020. "Demographic Dynamics, Urban Cycles and Economic Downturns: A Long-term Investigation of a Metropolitan Region in Europe, 1956–2016," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 39(3), pages 549-575, June.
    12. Vinci, Sabato & Bartolacci, Francesca & Salvia, Rosanna & Salvati, Luca, 2022. "Housing markets, the great crisis, and metropolitan gradients: Insights from Greece, 2000–2014," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Luca Salvati, 2019. "Examining urban functions along a metropolitan gradient: a geographically weighted regression tells you more," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 19-40, April.
    14. Ilaria Zambon & Kostas Rontos & Pere Serra & Andrea Colantoni & Luca Salvati, 2018. "Population Dynamics in Southern Europe: A Local-Scale Analysis, 1961–2011," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Mariateresa Ciommi & Francesco M. Chelli & Luca Salvati, 2019. "Integrating parametric and non-parametric multivariate analysis of urban growth and commuting patterns in a European metropolitan area," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 957-979, March.
    16. Luca Salvati & Giuseppe Venanzoni & Pere Serra & Margherita Carlucci, 2016. "Scattered or polycentric? Untangling urban growth in three southern European metropolitan regions through exploratory spatial data analysis," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 57(1), pages 1-29, July.
    17. Alessia D’Agata & Giovanni Quaranta & Rosanna Salvia & Margherita Carlucci & Luca Salvati, 2023. "Mixed Land Use as an Intrinsic Feature of Sprawl: A Short-Term Analysis of Settlement Growth and Population Distribution Using European Urban Atlas," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-21, April.
    18. Francesca Mariani & Ilaria Zambon & Luca Salvati, 2018. "Population Matters: Identifying Metropolitan Sub-Centers from Diachronic Density-Distance Curves, 1960–2010," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, December.
    19. Salvati, Luca & Ciommi, Maria Teresa & Serra, Pere & Chelli, Francesco M., 2019. "Exploring the spatial structure of housing prices under economic expansion and stagnation: The role of socio-demographic factors in metropolitan Rome, Italy," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 143-152.
    20. Luca Salvati, 2022. "Exploring long-term urban cycles with multivariate time-series analysis," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(4), pages 1212-1227, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:35:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10680-017-9462-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.