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A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data

Author

Listed:
  • César Castro

    (University of Salamanca)

  • Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez

    (IME, University of Salamanca)

  • Pilar Poncela

    (European Commission
    Universidad Autónoma de Madrid)

  • Eva Senra

    (Universidad de Alcalá)

Abstract

This paper analyzes oil price pass-through into inflation at disaggregate level for the euro area and its four main economies (France, Germany, Italy and Spain). The pattern of responses to oil price changes is quantitatively diverse across economies and across items of disaggregate inflation. Moreover, we suggest an alternative method to the direct calculation of aggregate effects on inflation given that indirect and second-round effects may offset the positive effects found in energy inflation and dissipate the effect on total inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • César Castro & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra, 2017. "A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 34(1), pages 55-82, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:epolit:v:34:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s40888-016-0048-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s40888-016-0048-9
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    2. Jassim Aladwani, 2024. "Oil Volatility Uncertainty: Impact on Fundamental Macroeconomics and the Stock Index," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, June.
    3. Ligia Topan & César Castro & Miguel Jerez & Andrés Barge-Gil, 2020. "Oil price pass-through into inflation in Spain at national and regional level," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 561-583, December.
    4. İbrahim Özmen & Şerife Özşahin, 2023. "Effects of global energy and price fluctuations on Turkey's inflation: new evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2695-2728, August.
    5. Abdurrahman Nazif Çatik & Mehmet Karaçuka & A. Özlem Önder, 2022. "The Time-Varying Impact of External Shocks on the Consumer Price Components: Evidence from an Emerging Market," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(4), pages 781-807, December.
    6. Siok Kun Sek & KivanÇ Halil AriÇ & Jenq Fei Chu, 2019. "Oil Price Pass-through on Domestic Inflation: Oil Importing Versus Oil Exporting Countries," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 8, pages 604-610.
    7. Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Amalia Morales-Zumaquero, 2022. "Commodity price pass-through along the pricing chain," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(1), pages 109-125, February.
    8. Pradeep, Siddhartha, 2022. "Impact of diesel price reforms on asymmetricity of oil price pass-through to inflation: Indian perspective," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    9. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2020. "Dynamic Relationship between Oil Price and Inflation in Oil Exporting Economy: Empirical Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Technique," Energy Economics Letters, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(1), pages 12-22, June.
    10. Dipesh Karki & Hari Gopal Risal, 2019. "Asymmetric Impact of Oil Price on Inflation: Evidence from Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 31(1), pages 21-46, April.
    11. Jesus Cuauhtemoc Tellez Gaytan & Aqila Rafiuddin & Gyanendra Singh Sisodia & Gouher Ahmed & CH Paramaiah, 2023. "Pass-through Effects of Oil Prices on LATAM Emerging Stocks before and during COVID-19: An Evidence from a Wavelet -VAR Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 529-543, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Oil prices; Transfer functions; Disaggregation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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