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Model-based analysis of urban settlement process in eco-sensitive area of developing country: a study with special reference to hills of an Indian city

Author

Listed:
  • Sagarika Patowary

    (Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati)

  • Arup Kumar Sarma

    (Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati)

Abstract

Rapid and unplanned expansion of a city into its eco-sensitive areas like hills, wetlands, and forests is becoming a major concern, particularly in developing countries. Understanding the process and causes of such unplanned urban expansion is of paramount importance for framing sustainable urban development policies. This paper presents a modelling concept that relates urban settlement in such eco-sensitive areas with potential socio-economic, demographic and geographical factors. The model is applied to an Indian city Guwahati, which is experiencing serious environmental degradation due to unplanned urban settlement in its eco-sensitive hilly areas. While topographical and settlement data were derived using satellite data in GIS platform, all other necessary data were collected from relevant government organizations. On validation of the multi-linear regression model, the coefficient of determination and the root mean square error are obtained as 0.938 and 1.7, respectively. Model results show that geographical parameters are less influencing as compared to the other socio-economic and demographic factors. Sensitivity analysis of urban settlements in hills of Guwahati city carried out with respect to the considered factors reveals that land value and free space availability in the surrounding area of a hill are the most sensitive parameters. This indicates that city development plans should give more importance to outward spatial expansion in plain areas with regulated land value and zoning scheme to minimize unauthorized settlement in eco-sensitive hilly areas of Guwahati city.

Suggested Citation

  • Sagarika Patowary & Arup Kumar Sarma, 2018. "Model-based analysis of urban settlement process in eco-sensitive area of developing country: a study with special reference to hills of an Indian city," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1777-1795, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:20:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s10668-017-9965-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-017-9965-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sagarika Patowary & Arup Kumar Sarma, 2020. "Projection of urban settlement in eco-sensitive hilly areas and its impact on peak runoff," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5833-5848, August.
    2. Shangqian Li & Yutian Liang & Xin Deng & Weipan Xu & Xun Li, 2023. "Exploring the Spatial Heterogeneity of Rural Development in Laos Based on Rural Building Spatial Database," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-15, November.
    3. Sunil Kumar & Swagata Ghosh & Sultan Singh, 2022. "Polycentric urban growth and identification of urban hot spots in Faridabad, the million-plus metropolitan city of Haryana, India: a zonal assessment using spatial metrics and GIS," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 8246-8286, June.

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