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Policy matters. The long run effects of aggregate demand and mark-up shocks on the Italian unemployment rate

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  • Luca Gambetti
  • Barbara Pistoresi

Abstract

This paper estimates a VAR including labor productivity, real wage and unemployment rate, to identify the dynamic effects of technology, demand, and mark-up shocks, respectively, on the Italian labor market. Identification is achieved by imposing recursive restrictions on the matrix of long run multipliers. Our results show that both mark up and aggregate demand shocks permanently reduce the unemployment rate. Finally, technology shocks do not significantly affect the unemployment rate in the long run. These findings convey important policy implications: expansionary aggregate demand and deregulation policies reducing the mark up permanently decrease the Italian unemployment rate. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2004

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Gambetti & Barbara Pistoresi, 2004. "Policy matters. The long run effects of aggregate demand and mark-up shocks on the Italian unemployment rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 209-226, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:29:y:2004:i:2:p:209-226
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-003-0159-3
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dadam, Vincent & Viegi, Nicola, 2021. "Hysteresis without Hope: investigating unemployment persistence in South Africa," MPRA Paper 108129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Holmlund, Bertil & Alexius, Annika, 2008. "Monetary Policy and Swedish Unemployment Fluctuations," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 2, pages 1-25.
    3. Tafirenyika Sunde & Olusegun A. Akanbi, 2016. "Sources of unemployment in Namibia: an application of the structural VAR approach," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 125-143.
    4. Giuseppe Travaglini & Alessandro Bellocchi, 2018. "How supply and demand shocks affect productivity and unemployment growth: evidence from OECD countries," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 35(3), pages 955-979, December.
    5. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Pål Ulvedal, 2025. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 35-70, January.
    6. Andrea Vaona, 2015. "Anomalous empirical evidence on money long-run super-neutrality and the vertical long-run Phillips curve," Working Papers 17/2015, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    7. Tafirenyika SUNDE, 2015. "The effects of monetary policy on unemployment in Namibia," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, KSP Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 256-274, December.
    8. Antonio Rodriguez-Gil, 2018. "Hysteresis and labour market institutions. Evidence from the UK and the Netherlands," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1985-2025, December.
    9. repec:ksp:journ3:v:1:y:2015:i:4:p:256-274 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Josué Diwambuena & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2022. "What are the drivers of Labor Productivity?," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS86, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.

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