IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v178y2025i3d10.1007_s10584-025-03889-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Synergy or siphoning: does the low-carbon city pilot policy enhance green economic efficiency?

Author

Listed:
  • Zhixuan Ji

    (University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

  • Baoliu Liu

    (Beijing University of Technology
    Beijing University of Technology)

Abstract

Achieving efficient economic growth in a low-carbon manner is becoming a crucial aspect of sustainable development. Meanwhile, promoting coordinated development to achieve synergistic carbon reduction and efficiency enhancement across cities from a holistic perspective holds significant practical importance. Based on panel data from 282 Chinese cities spanning 2005 to 2019, this study employs staggered difference-in-differences (DID) and spatial Durbin DID models to investigate the direct and spatial spillover effects of China’s low-carbon city pilot (LCCP) policy on green economic efficiency. The findings reveal several key insights: First, the LCCP policy significantly enhances green economic efficiency, primarily through advancements in green transportation, employment, and technology. Second, a notable spatial correlation exits in the green economic efficiency of Chinese cities, with spatial agglomeration generally trending upward over time. Third, local low-carbon city pilots can create a “siphoning effect” through technology and population concentration, inhibiting improvements in neighboring areas and impeding coordinated sustainable development among cities. Therefore, adopting a holistic perspective, establishing coordination mechanisms among cities, and promoting the optimal overall green economic efficiency within the region are essential for effective policy outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhixuan Ji & Baoliu Liu, 2025. "Synergy or siphoning: does the low-carbon city pilot policy enhance green economic efficiency?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 1-27, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-025-03889-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-025-03889-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-025-03889-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-025-03889-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Feng, Yi & Peng, Diyun, 2022. "A green path towards sustainable development: The impact of low-carbon city pilot on energy transition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    2. Chen, Lifeng & Wang, Kaifeng, 2022. "The spatial spillover effect of low-carbon city pilot scheme on green efficiency in China's cities: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    3. Yan, Xiaolei & He, Taiyi, 2024. "Wish fulfilment or wishful thinking? – Assessing the outcomes of China's pilot carbon emissions trading scheme on green economy efficiency in China's cities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    4. Betsey Stevenson & Justin Wolfers, 2006. "Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(1), pages 267-288.
    5. Dawei Huang & Gang Chen, 2022. "Can the Carbon Emissions Trading System Improve the Green Total Factor Productivity of the Pilot Cities?—A Spatial Difference-in-Differences Econometric Analysis in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-18, January.
    6. Mi, Zhifu & Zhang, Yunkun & Guan, Dabo & Shan, Yuli & Liu, Zhu & Cong, Ronggang & Yuan, Xiao-Chen & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2016. "Consumption-based emission accounting for Chinese cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1073-1081.
    7. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    8. Feng, Tong & Lin, Zhongguo & Du, Huibin & Qiu, Yueming & Zuo, Jian, 2021. "Does low-carbon pilot city program reduce carbon intensity? Evidence from Chinese cities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Jiangfeng Hu & Zhao Wang & Yuehan Lian & Qinghua Huang, 2018. "Environmental Regulation, Foreign Direct Investment and Green Technological Progress—Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing Industries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-14, January.
    10. Bernard Fingleton & Julie Le Gallo, 2008. "Estimating spatial models with endogenous variables, a spatial lag and spatially dependent disturbances: Finite sample properties," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 87(3), pages 319-339, August.
    11. Julie Le Gallo & Bernard Fingleton, 2008. "Estimating spatial models with endogenous variables, a spatial lag and spatially dependent disturbances : finite sample properties," Post-Print hal-00485035, HAL.
    12. Liu, Baoliu & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Ding, Chante Jian & Liu, Xiaoqian, 2023. "Toward carbon neutrality: How will environmental regulatory policies affect corporate green innovation?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1006-1020.
    13. Tone, Kaoru, 2002. "A slacks-based measure of super-efficiency in data envelopment analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 32-41, November.
    14. J. Paul Elhorst, 2014. "Matlab Software for Spatial Panels," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 37(3), pages 389-405, July.
    15. Li, Pei & Lu, Yi & Wang, Jin, 2016. "Does flattening government improve economic performance? Evidence from China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 18-37.
    16. Tone, Kaoru, 2001. "A slacks-based measure of efficiency in data envelopment analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 498-509, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xinru & Long, Ruyin & Sun, Qingqing & Chen, Hong & Jiang, Shiyan & Wang, Yujie & Li, Qianwen & Yang, Shuhan, 2024. "Spatial spillover effects and driving mechanisms of carbon emission reduction in new energy demonstration cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    2. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Liu, Pei-Zhi & Klein, Tony & Sheenan, Lisa, 2024. "Does the low-carbon pilot cities policy make a difference to the carbon intensity reduction?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 227-239.
    3. Lingyan Zheng & Jiangping Chen, 2024. "Impacts of Low-Carbon City Pilot Policy on Urban Land Green Use Efficiency: Evidence from 283 Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-27, May.
    4. Yan, Xiaolei & He, Taiyi & Qian, Pengcheng & Liu, Zhongwen, 2024. "Does the construction of Pilot Free Trade Zones promote the development of green economy? - A quasi-natural experiment evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 208-224.
    5. Qingyang Wu & Zhen Sun & Linhan Jiang & Lei Jiang, 2024. "“Bottom-up” abatement on climate from the “top-down” design: lessons learned from China’s low-carbon city pilot policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 1223-1257, March.
    6. Xiaotong Wang & Gongli Luo & Lu Wang, 2024. "Analysis of Green Economic Efficiency and Influencing Factors: Based on the Innovation Output and Spatial Spillover Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 15161-15175, September.
    7. Nie, Song, 2024. "Does intellectual property rights protection matter for low-carbon transition? The role of institutional incentives," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    8. Xiaohu Li & Xigang Zhu & Jianshu Li & Chao Gu, 2021. "Influence of Different Industrial Agglomeration Modes on Eco-Efficiency in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(24), pages 1-23, December.
    9. Solmaria Halleck Vega & J. Paul Elhorst, 2015. "The Slx Model," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 339-363, June.
    10. Gao, Yihong & Gao, Jiayan, 2023. "Low-carbon transformation and corporate cash holdings," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    11. Zaijun Li & Xiang Zheng & Dongqi Sun, 2021. "The Influencing Effects of Industrial Eco-Efficiency on Carbon Emissions in the Yangtze River Delta," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-19, December.
    12. Yu, Binbin, 2022. "The Impact of the Internet on Industrial Green Productivity: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    13. Jing Bian & Feng Lan & Yulin Zhou & Zhenzhen Peng & Mingfang Dong, 2022. "Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Urban Ecological Well-Being Performance in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-19, August.
    14. Chen, Yufeng & Ni, Liangfu & Liu, Kelong, 2021. "Does China's new energy vehicle industry innovate efficiently? A three-stage dynamic network slacks-based measure approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    15. Honma, Satoshi, 2012. "Environmental and economic efficiencies in the Asia-Pacific region," MPRA Paper 43361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ruijing Zheng & Yu Cheng & Haimeng Liu & Wei Chen & Xiaodong Chen & Yaping Wang, 2022. "The Spatiotemporal Distribution and Drivers of Urban Carbon Emission Efficiency: The Role of Technological Innovation," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-22, July.
    17. Le Sun & Congmou Zhu & Shaofeng Yuan & Lixia Yang & Shan He & Wuyan Li, 2022. "Exploring the Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Agricultural Carbon Emission Performance in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-18, September.
    18. Senhua Huang & Lingming Chen, 2023. "The Impact of the Digital Economy on the Urban Total-Factor Energy Efficiency: Evidence from 275 Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    19. Badi H. Baltagi & Georges Bresson & Jean‐Michel Etienne, 2015. "Hedonic Housing Prices in Paris: An Unbalanced Spatial Lag Pseudo‐Panel Model with Nested Random Effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 509-528, April.
    20. Can Zhang & Jixia Li, 2024. "The Impact of Official Promotion Incentives on Urban Ecological Welfare Performance and Its Spatial Effect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-29, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-025-03889-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.