IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v164y2021i3d10.1007_s10584-021-03028-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Surface air pressure–based reconstruction of tropical cyclones affecting Hong Kong since the late nineteenth century

Author

Listed:
  • Yingxian Zhang

    (China Meteorological Administration)

  • Yuyu Ren

    (China Meteorological Administration)

  • Guoyu Ren

    (China Meteorological Administration
    China University of Geosciences)

  • Yongqiang Zhang

    (China Meteorological Administration)

Abstract

By using instrumental surface air pressure (SAP) records for 1885–2017 at Hong Kong (HK) station, SAP data for 1951–2016 at 66 stations over mainland China and modern tropical cyclones (TCs) of 1951–2017 derived from the Best Tracks (BT) dataset over Northwest Pacific, an objective identification method (OIM) for TCs is developed. Taking HK station as an example, the general distance of detectable landing TCs and the SAP thresholds are determined by utilizing the correlation between the SAP metrics at HK station and those at each landing site for all 392 real modern TC processes during the period of 1951–2016. Then, a long series of TCs affecting HK station for 1885–2017 is reconstructed by applying the thresholds of daily mean SAP and 24-h SAP difference to observed SAP data during the whole stage. The misjudgment of this OIM is about 10%, and it provides a homogeneous series of TCs affecting HK area during 1885–2017. The reconstructed annual TC series shows a visible decreasing trend from 1885 to 2017, with a more obvious reduction occurring after the early 1960s. Specifically, the 10 years of 1994–2003 had the smallest number of TCs. This SAP-based method developed in this study is potentially applicable for other areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Yingxian Zhang & Yuyu Ren & Guoyu Ren & Yongqiang Zhang, 2021. "Surface air pressure–based reconstruction of tropical cyclones affecting Hong Kong since the late nineteenth century," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-16, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:164:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03028-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03028-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-021-03028-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-021-03028-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Caroline Ladlow & Jonathan D. Woodruff & Timothy L. Cook & Hannah Baranes & Kinuyo Kanamaru, 2019. "A fluvially derived flood deposit dating to the Kamikaze typhoons near Nagasaki, Japan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(2), pages 827-841, November.
    2. James P. Kossin, 2018. "A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed," Nature, Nature, vol. 558(7708), pages 104-107, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yi Li & Youmin Tang & Shuai Wang & Ralf Toumi & Xiangzhou Song & Qiang Wang, 2023. "Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Chin‐Hsien Yu & Bruce A. McCarl & Jian‐Da Zhu, 2022. "Market response to typhoons: The role of information and expectations," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 89(2), pages 496-521, October.
    3. Mallucci, Enrico, 2022. "Natural disasters, climate change, and sovereign risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Reza Marsooli & Ning Lin, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on hurricane flood hazards in Jamaica Bay, New York," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 2153-2171, December.
    5. John Miller & Guilherme Vieira Silva & Darrell Strauss, 2023. "Divergence of tropical cyclone hazard based on wind-weighted track distributions in the Coral Sea, over 50 years," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2591-2617, March.
    6. Renato Molina & Ivan Rudik, 2022. "The Social Value of Predicting Hurricanes," CESifo Working Paper Series 10049, CESifo.
    7. Qian Ke & Jiangshan Yin & Jeremy D. Bricker & Nicholas Savage & Erasmo Buonomo & Qinghua Ye & Paul Visser & Guangtao Dong & Shuai Wang & Zhan Tian & Laixiang Sun & Ralf Toumi & Sebastiaan N. Jonkman, 2021. "An integrated framework of coastal flood modelling under the failures of sea dikes: a case study in Shanghai," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 671-703, October.
    8. Ben Clarke & Friederike Otto & Richard Jones, 2023. "When don’t we need a new extreme event attribution study?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(5), pages 1-19, May.
    9. Michael Wehner & Christopher Sampson, 2021. "Attributable human-induced changes in the magnitude of flooding in the Houston, Texas region during Hurricane Harvey," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-13, May.
    10. Sarah S. Wiener & Nora L. Álvarez-Berríos & Angela B. Lindsey, 2020. "Opportunities and Challenges for Hurricane Resilience on Agricultural and Forest Land in the U.S. Southeast and Caribbean," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    11. Anil Deo & Savin S. Chand & R. Duncan McIntosh & Bipen Prakash & Neil J. Holbrook & Andrew Magee & Alick Haruhiru & Philip Malsale, 2022. "Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-23, June.
    12. Molina, Renato & Rudik, Ivan, 2022. "The Social Value of Predicting Hurricanes," SocArXiv sqtjr, Center for Open Science.
    13. Yi Zou & Zhenfeng Wei & Qingming Zhan & Huijie Zhou, 2023. "An extreme storm over the Nanling Mountains during Typhoon Bilis and the roles of terrain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 795-815, March.
    14. Lauri Peterson, 2021. "Silver Lining to Extreme Weather Events? Democracy and Climate Change Mitigation," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 21(1), pages 23-53, Winter.
    15. Shifei Tu & Johnny C. L. Chan & Jianjun Xu & Quanjia Zhong & Wen Zhou & Yu Zhang, 2022. "Increase in tropical cyclone rain rate with translation speed," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    16. A. Sebastian & D. J. Bader & C. M. Nederhoff & T. W. B. Leijnse & J. D. Bricker & S. G. J. Aarninkhof, 2021. "Hindcast of pluvial, fluvial, and coastal flood damage in Houston, Texas during Hurricane Harvey (2017) using SFINCS," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(3), pages 2343-2362, December.
    17. Xiangbo Feng & Nicholas P. Klingaman & Kevin I. Hodges, 2021. "Poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to changes in cyclone seasonality," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    18. Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado & Pedro Alejandro-Camis & Gerardo Cabrera-Beauchamp & Jaime S. Fonseca-Miranda & Nicolás X. Gómez-Andújar & Pedro Gómez & Roger Guzmán-Rodríguez & Iván Olivo-Maldonado & Sam, 2024. "Stronger Hurricanes and Climate Change in the Caribbean Sea: Threats to the Sustainability of Endangered Coral Species," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-62, February.
    19. Billings, Stephen B. & Gallagher, Emily A. & Ricketts, Lowell, 2022. "Let the rich be flooded: The distribution of financial aid and distress after hurricane harvey," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 797-819.
    20. Ya-Ting Chang & I-I Lin & Hsiao-Ching Huang & Yi-Chun Liao & Chun-Chi Lien, 2020. "The Association of Typhoon Intensity Increase with Translation Speed Increase in the South China Sea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-13, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:164:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03028-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.