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The long-term policy context for solar radiation management

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  • Steven Smith
  • Philip Rasch

Abstract

We examine the potential role of “solar radiation management” or “sunlight reduction methods” (SRM) in limiting future climate change, focusing on the interplay between SRM deployment and mitigation in the context of uncertainty in climate response. We use a straightforward scenario analysis to show that the policy and physical context determine the potential need, amount, and timing of SRM. SRM techniques, along with a substantial emission reduction policy, would be needed to meet stated policy goals, such as limiting climate change to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, if the climate sensitivity is high. The SRM levels examined by current modeling studies are much higher than the levels required under an assumption of a consistent long-term policy. We introduce a degree-year metric, which quantifies the magnitude of SRM that would be needed to keep global temperatures under a given threshold. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Steven Smith & Philip Rasch, 2013. "The long-term policy context for solar radiation management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 487-497, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:121:y:2013:i:3:p:487-497
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0577-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Naomi Vaughan & Timothy Lenton, 2011. "A review of climate geoengineering proposals," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 745-790, December.
    2. Marlos Goes & Nancy Tuana & Klaus Keller, 2011. "The economics (or lack thereof) of aerosol geoengineering," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 719-744, December.
    3. Macintosh, Andrew, 2010. "Keeping warming within the 2 °C limit after Copenhagen," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 2964-2975, June.
    4. O. Boucher & J. Lowe & C. Jones, 2009. "Implications of delayed actions in addressing carbon dioxide emission reduction in the context of geo-engineering," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 92(3), pages 261-273, February.
    5. Scott Barrett, 2008. "The Incredible Economics of Geoengineering," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 39(1), pages 45-54, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shinichiro Asayama & Mike Hulme & Nils Markusson, 2021. "Balancing a budget or running a deficit? The offset regime of carbon removal and solar geoengineering under a carbon budget," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 1-21, July.
    2. Tommi Ekholm & Hannele Korhonen, 2016. "Climate change mitigation strategy under an uncertain Solar Radiation Management possibility," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(3), pages 503-515, December.

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