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Potential consequences of projected climate change impacts on hydroelectricity generation

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  • Pierre Mukheibir

Abstract

There is a growing concern that countries should reduce their dependence on fossil fuels for electricity generation and look to other cleaner technologies. Hydroelectricity is one such option. However, given that hydropower is dependent on rainfall and associated runoff for power generation, it is susceptible to both the positive and negative impacts of climate change, such as increases in temperature and changes in precipitation and runoff. In this paper, impacts on hydropower generation have been organised as either changes in long-term trends or short-term variability and shocks. These impacts could either manifest themselves as direct impacts on hydropower generation potential or as indirect impacts (or ancillary impacts) such as increased competition for water. Citing examples from around the world, this paper investigates the scale of these projected impacts, and the potential cost implication of inaction. It concludes by making recommendations for possible adaptive options to build resilience in response to local impacts. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

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  • Pierre Mukheibir, 2013. "Potential consequences of projected climate change impacts on hydroelectricity generation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(1), pages 67-78, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:121:y:2013:i:1:p:67-78
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0890-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan A. A–el & Mohcine Bakhat & Xavier Labandeira, 2013. "Hydrological management of a heavily dammed river basin: the Mi–o-Sil," Working Papers 03-2014, Economics for Energy.
    2. Teotónio, Carla & Fortes, Patrícia & Roebeling, Peter & Rodriguez, Miguel & Robaina-Alves, Margarita, 2017. "Assessing the impacts of climate change on hydropower generation and the power sector in Portugal: A partial equilibrium approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 788-799.
    3. Yongping Sun & Xin Zou & Xunpeng Shi & Ping Zhang, 2019. "The economic impact of climate risks in China: evidence from 47-sector panel data, 2000–2014," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(1), pages 289-308, January.
    4. Patro, Epari Ritesh & De Michele, Carlo & Avanzi, Francesco, 2018. "Future perspectives of run-of-the-river hydropower and the impact of glaciers’ shrinkage: The case of Italian Alps," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 699-713.
    5. Bhattacharjee, Somudeep & Das, Ivan & Nandi, Champa, 2023. "A data-centric analysis of climate change in India: A reflection on electricity sector," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    6. Kontić, Branko & Bohanec, Marko & Kontić, Davor & Trdin, Nejc & Matko, Maruša, 2016. "Improving appraisal of sustainability of energy options – A view from Slovenia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 154-171.
    7. Meng, Fanxin & Liu, Gengyuan & Liang, Sai & Su, Meirong & Yang, Zhifeng, 2019. "Critical review of the energy-water-carbon nexus in cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1017-1032.

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