IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/chfecr/v5y2017i1d10.1186_s40589-017-0055-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Export fluctuation and overcapacity in China’s manufacturing industry—the inspection of the causes of excess capacity from the perspective of external demand

Author

Listed:
  • Hang Liu

    (Xi’an Jiaotong University)

  • Ping Li

    (Quantitative & Technical Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

  • Danhui Yang

    (Institute of Industrial Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

Abstract

Background Intuitively speaking, there is an inverse proportional relationship between exports and overcapacity, which means in export’s busy season, enterprises would expand output and improve capacity utilization rate but control yields to avoid dull sale in slack season, causing exacerbated excess capacity. However, this is just the reflections of “sales effect” on overcapacity by export fluctuation. For some enterprises, there is indeed “competition effect” which may alleviate overcapacity because enterprises face even more fierce domestic competition for the sake of weak exports and may increase the utilization load of existing capacity in order to cut costs. Methods A test is conducted in this paper to verify the relationship between export fluctuation and excess capacity based on data of China’s manufacturing industry from 2001 to 2013. Results The overall results indicate that export fluctuation is not the significant cause for excess capacity. In the small- and medium-sized enterprises or in industries with higher proportion of non-state capital, the negative relationship between exports and excess capacity is more obvious, with sales effect taking a dominant position. On the other hand, under the influence of competition effect, the relationship between the two may be positive. Conclusions Thus, external demand shocks exert different influence on the alleviation of excess capacity of different industries, and extensively driven exports may not have anticipated effect on the dissolution of the excess capacity. To regulate overcapacity with the aid of external market, a fair and orderly competition environment should be provided to the export subjects of different size and ownerships.

Suggested Citation

  • Hang Liu & Ping Li & Danhui Yang, 2017. "Export fluctuation and overcapacity in China’s manufacturing industry—the inspection of the causes of excess capacity from the perspective of external demand," China Finance and Economic Review, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:chfecr:v:5:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1186_s40589-017-0055-1
    DOI: 10.1186/s40589-017-0055-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s40589-017-0055-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s40589-017-0055-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dale Squires & Yongil Jeon & R. Quentin Grafton & James Kirkley, 2010. "Controlling excess capacity in common-pool resource industries: the transition from input to output controls ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(3), pages 361-377, July.
    2. Michalis Nikiforos, 2013. "The (Normal) Rate of Capacity Utilization at the Firm Level," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(3), pages 513-538, July.
    3. James Crotty, 2002. "Why There Is Chronic Excess Capacity," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(6), pages 21-44.
    4. Mathis, Stephen & Koscianski, Janet, 1997. "Excess capacity as a barrier to entry in the US titanium industry," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 263-281, April.
    5. Dixon, Peter B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2011. "You can't have a CGE recession without excess capacity," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 602-613, January.
    6. Besanko, David & Doraszelski, Ulrich & Lu, Lauren Xiaoyuan & Satterthwaite, Mark, 2010. "On the role of demand and strategic uncertainty in capacity investment and disinvestment dynamics," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 383-389, July.
    7. H. Kim, 1999. "Economic Capacity Utilization and its Determinants: Theory and Evidence," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 15(4), pages 321-339, December.
    8. Dupont, Diane P. & Grafton, R. Quentin & Kirkley, James & Squires, Dale, 2002. "Capacity utilization measures and excess capacity in multi-product privatized fisheries," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 193-210, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lyu, Chaofeng & Xiao, Ziheng & Pu, Yun, 2023. "Financial openness and firm exports: Evidence from Foreign-owned Banks in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Zhenling & Zhang, Xiaoling & Ni, Guohua, 2020. "Decomposing capacity utilization under carbon dioxide emissions reduction constraints in data envelopment analysis: An application to Chinese regions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Yamazaki, Satoshi & Resosudarmo, Budy P. & Girsang, Wardis & Hoshino, Eriko, 2018. "Productivity, Social Capital and Perceived Environmental Threats in Small-Island Fisheries: Insights from Indonesia," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 62-75.
    3. Solís, Daniel & del Corral, Julio & Perruso, Larry & Agar, Juan J., 2014. "Evaluating the impact of individual fishing quotas (IFQs) on the technical efficiency and composition of the US Gulf of Mexico red snapper commercial fishing fleet," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 74-83.
    4. Wang, Hua & Liao, Lingtao & Wu, Ji (George), 2023. "Robot adoption and firm's capacity utilization: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Dale Squires & Kathleen Segerson, 2022. "Capacity and Capacity Utilization in Production Economics," Springer Books, in: Subhash C. Ray & Robert G. Chambers & Subal C. Kumbhakar (ed.), Handbook of Production Economics, chapter 24, pages 1001-1037, Springer.
    6. Christian Schoder, 2012. "Effective demand, exogenous normal utilization and endogenous capacity in the long run. Evidence from a CVAR analysis for the US," IMK Working Paper 103-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    7. Kristiaan Kerstens & Jafar Sadeghi & Ignace Van de Woestyne, 2020. "Plant capacity notions in a non-parametric framework: a brief review and new graph or non-oriented plant capacities," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 288(2), pages 837-860, May.
    8. Xiao Jiang, 2015. "Endogenous Cycles and Chaos in a Capitalist Economy: A Circuit of Capital Model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(1), pages 123-157, February.
    9. Mark Setterfield & Joana David Avritzer, 2020. "Hysteresis in the normal rate of capacity utilization: A behavioral explanation," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 898-919, November.
    10. Eric Kemp‐Benedict, 2020. "Convergence of actual, warranted, and natural growth rates in a Kaleckian–Harrodian‐classical model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 851-881, November.
    11. Catherine J. Morrison Paul & Ronald G. Felthoven & Marcelo de O. Torres, 2010. "Productive performance in fisheries: modeling, measurement, and management," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(3), pages 343-360, July.
    12. E. Grifell-Tatjé & C. Lovell, 2014. "Productivity, price recovery, capacity constraints and their financial consequences," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 3-17, February.
    13. Nassios, Jason & Giesecke, James A. & Dixon, Peter B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2020. "What impact do differences in financial structure have on the macro effects of bank capital requirements in the United States and Australia?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 429-446.
    14. Dong, Kaiqiang & Sun, Wei, 2022. "Would the market mechanism cause the formation of overcapacity?: Evidence from Chinese listed firms of manufacturing industry," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 97-113.
    15. Wang, Yadong & Wang, Delu & Shi, Xunpeng, 2021. "Exploring the dilemma of overcapacity governance in China's coal industry: A tripartite evolutionary game model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    16. James Kirkley & Catherine Morrison Paul & Dale Squires, 2002. "Capacity and Capacity Utilization in Common-pool Resource Industries," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 22(1), pages 71-97, June.
    17. Ciaran Driver, 2000. "Capacity Utilisation and Excess Capacity: Theory, Evidence, and Policy," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 16(1), pages 69-87, February.
    18. Federico Bassi, 2020. "Chronic Excess Capacity and Unemployment Hysteresis in EU Countries. A Structural Approach," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def091, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    19. Lalit Manral, 2015. "The demand-side dynamics of entrant heterogeneity," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 401-445, April.
    20. Solis, Daniel & del Corral, Julio & Perruso, Lawrence & Agar, Juan J., 2015. "Individual fishing quotas and fishing capacity in the US Gulf of Mexico red snapper fishery," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(2), April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:chfecr:v:5:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1186_s40589-017-0055-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.