IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/apjors/v4y2020i2d10.1007_s41685-020-00152-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Diversity of industrial structure and economic stability: evidence from Asian gross value added

Author

Listed:
  • Kurt A. Hafner

    (University of Heilbronn)

Abstract

The paper provides evidence of convex growth-instability frontiers for 19 Asian countries based on the shares of different economic activities in gross value added between 1991 and 2016. Numerical simulations of gross value added shares show that Asian industry portfolios in 2014 were below the unbounded efficient frontier defined by Markowitz, and that rearranging the shares of economic activities leads to efficiency gains through higher income and lower output volatility. The data show that gross value added in Asian countries in general, and in Eastern Asia in particular, are contributed mainly by “other activity” and “transport” sectors, while optimal industry portfolios in Southern Asia and Southeast Asia are found to be more diversified. Stochastic frontier analysis confirms convex growth-instability frontiers and points to differences in labor growth rates and industrial diversification as the main sources of inefficiency. The results are robust to model specifications and data restrictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Kurt A. Hafner, 2020. "Diversity of industrial structure and economic stability: evidence from Asian gross value added," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 413-441, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:apjors:v:4:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s41685-020-00152-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s41685-020-00152-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s41685-020-00152-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s41685-020-00152-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ramey, Garey & Ramey, Valerie A, 1995. "Cross-Country Evidence on the Link between Volatility and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1138-1151, December.
    2. Miklós Koren & Silvana Tenreyro, 2013. "Technological Diversification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(1), pages 378-414, February.
    3. William F. Sharpe, 1963. "A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(2), pages 277-293, January.
    4. Jean Imbs & Romain Wacziarg, 2003. "Stages of Diversification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 63-86, March.
    5. Imbs, Jean, 2007. "Growth and volatility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1848-1862, October.
    6. Jan Kluge, 2018. "Sectoral diversification as insurance against economic instability," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(1), pages 204-223, January.
    7. Siddharth Chandra, 2003. "Regional Economy Size and the Growth–Instability Frontier: Evidence from Europe," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 95-122, February.
    8. Krugman, Paul, 1991. "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 483-499, June.
    9. Kurt A. Hafner, 2019. "Growth‐instability frontier and industrial diversification: Evidence from European gross value added," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 98(2), pages 799-824, April.
    10. Krugman, Paul, 1980. "Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 950-959, December.
    11. Federico Belotti & Silvio Daidone & Giuseppe Ilardi & Vincenzo Atella, 2013. "Stochastic frontier analysis using Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 13(4), pages 718-758, December.
    12. Akihiro Otsuka & Mika Goto & Toshiyuki Sueyoshi, 2010. "Industrial agglomeration effects in Japan: Productive efficiency, market access, and public fiscal transfer," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(4), pages 819-840, November.
    13. J. Tobin, 1958. "Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 25(2), pages 65-86.
    14. Roberto Ezcurra & Vicente Rios, 2015. "Volatility and Regional Growth in Europe: Does Space Matter?," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 344-368, September.
    15. Martin Falk & Franz Sinabell, 2009. "A spatial econometric analysis of the regional growth and volatility in Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 36(2), pages 193-207, May.
    16. Siddharth Chandra, 2002. "A Test of the Regional Growth-Instability Frontier Using State Data," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 78(3), pages 442-462.
    17. Amirul Islam & Ruhul Salim & Harry Bloch, 2016. "Does Regional Integration Affect Efficiency And Productivity Growth? Empirical Evidence From South Asia," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 107-122, July.
    18. Bernard Trendle, 2006. "Regional economic instability: the role of industrial diversification and spatial spillovers," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 40(4), pages 767-778, December.
    19. Attaran, Mohsen, 1986. "Industrial Diversity and Economic Performance in U.S. Areas," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 20(2), pages 44-54, July.
    20. Akihiro Otsuka, 2017. "Regional determinants of total factor productivity in Japan: stochastic frontier analysis," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 58(3), pages 579-596, May.
    21. Battese, G E & Coelli, T J, 1995. "A Model for Technical Inefficiency Effects in a Stochastic Frontier Production Function for Panel Data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 325-332.
    22. Han, Gaofeng & Kalirajan, Kaliappa & Singh, Nirvikar, 2002. "Productivity and economic growth in East Asia: innovation, efficiency and accumulation," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 401-424, December.
    23. Meeusen, Wim & van den Broeck, Julien, 1977. "Efficiency Estimation from Cobb-Douglas Production Functions with Composed Error," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 18(2), pages 435-444, June.
    24. Aigner, Dennis & Lovell, C. A. Knox & Schmidt, Peter, 1977. "Formulation and estimation of stochastic frontier production function models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 21-37, July.
    25. Kumbhakar,Subal C. & Lovell,C. A. Knox, 2003. "Stochastic Frontier Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521666633, November.
    26. Akihiro Otsuka & Mika Goto, 2015. "Regional Policy and the Productive Efficiency of Japanese Industries," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(4), pages 518-531, April.
    27. Arup Mitra & Hajime Sato, 2007. "Agglomeration Economies In Japan: Technical Efficiency, Growth And Unemployment," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 197-209, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Xiaoli & Ahmad, Maaz & Gu, Xiao, 2024. "The Dual Faces of growth: Linear and non-linear effects of industrialization, financial development and natural resource rents on China's economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Huang, Yongming & Faraz Raza, Syed Muhammad & Usman, Muhammad, 2023. "Asymmetric role of natural resources dependence, industrialization, and foreign direct investment in China’s economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Oleksandr Popov & Sergiy Melnikov & Oleksandr Skachkov & Vasiliy Lyba, 2022. "Assessment of the Level of Economies' Foreign Trade Diversification," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 16(3), September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jan Kluge & Sarah Lappöhn & Kerstin Plank, 2023. "Predictors of TFP growth in European countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 109-140, February.
    2. Roberto Ezcurra & Vicente Rios, 2015. "Volatility and Regional Growth in Europe: Does Space Matter?," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 344-368, September.
    3. Kluge, Jan & Lappoehn, Sarah & Plank, Kerstin, 2020. "The Determinants of Economic Competitiveness," IHS Working Paper Series 24, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    4. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2015. "Efficiency of the banking system in Vietnam under financial liberalization," OSF Preprints qsf6d, Center for Open Science.
    5. Giovanni Calice & Levent Kutlu & Ming Zeng, 2021. "Understanding US firm efficiency and its asset pricing implications," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 803-827, February.
    6. Ceyhun Elgin & Selman Çakır, 2015. "Technological progress and scientific indicators: a panel data analysis," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 263-281, April.
    7. Gangopadhyay, Partha & Jain, Siddharth & Bakry, Walid, 2022. "In search of a rational foundation for the massive IT boom in the Australian banking industry: Can the IT boom really drive relationship banking?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    8. Solange Maria Guerra & Benjamin Miranda Tabak & Rodrigo Cesar de Castro Miranda, 2014. "Do Interconnections Matter for Bank Efficiency?," Working Papers Series 374, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    9. Egon Žižmond & Matjaž Novak, 2006. "Impact of Price-Deregulation on Market Outcomes - The Case of Chimney Sweep Services in Slovenia," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(4), pages 350-363.
    10. Roengchai Tansuchat, 2023. "A Copula-Based Meta-Stochastic Frontier Analysis for Comparing Traditional and HDPE Geomembranes Technology in Sea Salt Farming among Farmers in Phetchaburi, Thailand," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, March.
    11. Cuéllar Martín, Jaime & Martín-Román, Ángel L. & Moral, Alfonso, 2017. "A composed error model decomposition and spatial analysis of local unemployment," MPRA Paper 79783, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Luis Antonio Galiano Bastarrica & Eva M. Buitrago Esquinas & María Ángeles Caraballo Pou & Rocío Yñiguez Ovando, 2023. "Environmental adjustment of the EU27 GDP: an econometric quantitative model," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 115-128, March.
    13. Ángel L. Martín‐Román & Jaime Cuéllar‐Martín & Alfonso Moral, 2023. "Natural and cyclical unemployment: A stochastic frontier decomposition and economic policy implications," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 5-39, January.
    14. Getu Hailu & B. James Deaton, 2016. "Agglomeration Effects in Ontario’s Dairy Farming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(4), pages 1055-1073.
    15. Federica VIGANO & Andrea SALUSTRI, 2015. "Matching profit and Non-profit Needs: How NPOs and Cooperative Contribute to Growth in Time of Crisis. A Quantitative Approach," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 86(1), pages 157-178, March.
    16. Agasisti, Tommaso & Barra, Cristian & Zotti, Roberto, 2016. "Evaluating the efficiency of Italian public universities (2008–2011) in presence of (unobserved) heterogeneity," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 47-58.
    17. Christopoulos, Dimitris K. & McAdam, Peter, 2019. "Efficiency, Inefficiency, And The Mena Frontier," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 489-521, March.
    18. Keller, Michael, 2020. "Wasted windfalls: Inefficiencies in health care spending in oil rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    19. Stefan Meyer, 2015. "Payment schemes and cost efficiency: evidence from Swiss public hospitals," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 73-97, March.
    20. Claudio Quintano & Paolo Mazzocchi & Antonella Rocca, 2020. "A competitive analysis of EU ports by fixing spatial and economic dimensions," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic activities; Regional growth; Economic instability; Portfolio theory; Stochastic frontier analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:apjors:v:4:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s41685-020-00152-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.