IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/alstar/v104y2020i1d10.1007_s10182-018-00349-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A risk perspective of estimating portfolio weights of the global minimum-variance portfolio

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Holgersson

    (Linnæus University)

  • Peter Karlsson

    (Linnæus University)

  • Andreas Stephan

    (Jönköping International Business School)

Abstract

The problem of how to determine portfolio weights so that the variance of portfolio returns is minimized has been given considerable attention in the literature, and several methods have been proposed. Some properties of these estimators, however, remain unknown, and many of their relative strengths and weaknesses are therefore difficult to assess for users. This paper contributes to the field by comparing and contrasting the risk functions used to derive efficient portfolio weight estimators. It is argued that risk functions commonly used to derive and evaluate estimators may be inadequate and that alternative quality criteria should be considered instead. The theoretical discussions are supported by a Monte Carlo simulation and two empirical applications where particular focus is set on cases where the number of assets (p) is close to the number of observations (n).

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Holgersson & Peter Karlsson & Andreas Stephan, 2020. "A risk perspective of estimating portfolio weights of the global minimum-variance portfolio," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(1), pages 59-80, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:alstar:v:104:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10182-018-00349-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10182-018-00349-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10182-018-00349-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10182-018-00349-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:hal:journl:peer-00741629 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Raman Uppal, 2009. "Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1-N Portfolio Strategy?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(5), pages 1915-1953, May.
    3. Frankfurter, George M. & Phillips, Herbert E. & Seagle, John P., 1971. "Portfolio Selection: The Effects of Uncertain Means, Variances, and Covariances," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(5), pages 1251-1262, December.
    4. Bodnar, Taras & Parolya, Nestor & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2018. "Estimation of the global minimum variance portfolio in high dimensions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(1), pages 371-390.
    5. Yarema Okhrin & Wolfgang Schmid, 2007. "Comparison of different estimation techniques for portfolio selection," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 91(2), pages 109-127, August.
    6. Kotz,Samuel & Nadarajah,Saralees, 2004. "Multivariate T-Distributions and Their Applications," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521826549, September.
    7. Frahm, Gabriel & Memmel, Christoph, 2010. "Dominating estimators for minimum-variance portfolios," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 289-302, December.
    8. Ledoit, Olivier & Wolf, Michael, 2003. "Improved estimation of the covariance matrix of stock returns with an application to portfolio selection," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(5), pages 603-621, December.
    9. Best, Michael J & Grauer, Robert R, 1991. "On the Sensitivity of Mean-Variance-Efficient Portfolios to Changes in Asset Means: Some Analytical and Computational Results," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(2), pages 315-342.
    10. Okhrin, Yarema & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2006. "Distributional properties of portfolio weights," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 235-256, September.
    11. Vasyl Golosnoy & Yarema Okhrin, 2007. "Multivariate Shrinkage for Optimal Portfolio Weights," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 441-458.
    12. Alexander Kempf & Christoph Memmel, 2006. "Estimating the global Minimum Variance Portfolio," Schmalenbach Business Review (sbr), LMU Munich School of Management, vol. 58(4), pages 332-348, October.
    13. Taras Bodnar & Taras Zabolotskyy, 2017. "How risky is the optimal portfolio which maximizes the Sharpe ratio?," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 101(1), pages 1-28, January.
    14. H. E.T. Holgersson & Peter S. Karlsson, 2012. "Three estimators of the Mahalanobis distance in high-dimensional data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(12), pages 2713-2720, August.
    15. Merton, Robert C., 1980. "On estimating the expected return on the market : An exploratory investigation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 323-361, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bodnar, Olha & Bodnar, Taras & Parolya, Nestor, 2022. "Recent advances in shrinkage-based high-dimensional inference," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    2. Shiguo Huang & Linyu Cao & Ruili Sun & Tiefeng Ma & Shuangzhe Liu, 2024. "Enhancing Portfolio Optimization: A Two-Stage Approach with Deep Learning and Portfolio Optimization," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-21, October.
    3. Taras Bodnar & Solomiia Dmytriv & Yarema Okhrin & Nestor Parolya & Wolfgang Schmid, 2020. "Statistical inference for the EU portfolio in high dimensions," Papers 2005.04761, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Istvan Varga-Haszonits & Fabio Caccioli & Imre Kondor, 2016. "Replica approach to mean-variance portfolio optimization," Papers 1606.08679, arXiv.org.
    2. Carroll, Rachael & Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Salvador, Enrique, 2017. "Asset allocation with correlation: A composite trade-off," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1164-1180.
    3. Imre Kondor & G'abor Papp & Fabio Caccioli, 2016. "Analytic solution to variance optimization with no short-selling," Papers 1612.07067, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2017.
    4. Kazak, Ekaterina & Pohlmeier, Winfried, 2019. "Testing out-of-sample portfolio performance," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 540-554.
    5. Fabio Caccioli & Imre Kondor & G'abor Papp, 2015. "Portfolio Optimization under Expected Shortfall: Contour Maps of Estimation Error," Papers 1510.04943, arXiv.org.
    6. Vasyl Golosnoy, 2010. "No-transaction bounds and estimation risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 487-493.
    7. Taras Bodnar & Solomiia Dmytriv & Nestor Parolya & Wolfgang Schmid, 2017. "Tests for the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio in a high-dimensional setting," Papers 1710.09587, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    8. Frahm, Gabriel & Memmel, Christoph, 2010. "Dominating estimators for minimum-variance portfolios," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 289-302, December.
    9. Varga-Haszonits, Istvan & Caccioli, Fabio & Kondor, Imre, 2016. "Replica approach to mean-variance portfolio optimization," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68955, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2022. "Orthogonal portfolios to assess estimation risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 906-937.
    11. Taras Bodnar & Yarema Okhrin & Nestor Parolya, 2022. "Optimal Shrinkage-Based Portfolio Selection in High Dimensions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(1), pages 140-156, December.
    12. Muhinyuza, Stanislas & Bodnar, Taras & Lindholm, Mathias, 2020. "A test on the location of the tangency portfolio on the set of feasible portfolios," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 386(C).
    13. Candelon, B. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2012. "Sampling error and double shrinkage estimation of minimum variance portfolios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 511-527.
    14. Simaan, Majeed & Simaan, Yusif & Tang, Yi, 2018. "Estimation error in mean returns and the mean-variance efficient frontier," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 109-124.
    15. Frahm, Gabriel & Memmel, Christoph, 2008. "Dominating estimators for the global minimum variance portfolio," Discussion Papers in Econometrics and Statistics 2/08, University of Cologne, Institute of Econometrics and Statistics.
    16. Lassance, Nathan & Vanderveken, Rodolphe & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "On the optimal combination of naive and mean-variance portfolio strategies," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    17. Bodnar, Olha & Bodnar, Taras & Parolya, Nestor, 2022. "Recent advances in shrinkage-based high-dimensional inference," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    18. Bodnar, Taras & Parolya, Nestor & Thorsén, Erik, 2023. "Is the empirical out-of-sample variance an informative risk measure for the high-dimensional portfolios?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    19. Taras Bodnar & Nestor Parolya & Erik Thors'en, 2022. "Two is better than one: Regularized shrinkage of large minimum variance portfolio," Papers 2202.06666, arXiv.org.
    20. Taras Bodnar & Holger Dette & Nestor Parolya & Erik Thors'en, 2019. "Sampling Distributions of Optimal Portfolio Weights and Characteristics in Low and Large Dimensions," Papers 1908.04243, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global minimum-variance portfolio; Portfolio theory; High dimensional; Risk functions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:alstar:v:104:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10182-018-00349-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.