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Business Cycle Synchronisation with the Euro Area Countries at Times of Crisis: Differences Between SEE and CEE Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Valerija Botric

    (The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Tanja Broz

    (The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Sasa Jaksic

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Croatia)

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to analyse business cycle synchronisation patterns that the countries of the CESEE region have in relation to the original 12 Euro area member states. We focus on the turbulent times entailed in the latest economic crisis in order to examine whether the synchronisation patterns for the group of countries that have already established closer links to the EU differ from those in the countries pursuing the same path. Our analysis rests on the three well-established channels of business cycle synchronisation: trade, financial integration and sectoral specialisation. Given that the latest economic crisis was caused and transmitted by financial markets, we focus more on financial integration indicators. The results suggest that the synchronisation patterns differ between the two groups of countries and that the financial integration channel is important for the CEE countries, while synchronisation for the SEE countries is supported by the trade channel.

Suggested Citation

  • Valerija Botric & Tanja Broz & Sasa Jaksic, 2019. "Business Cycle Synchronisation with the Euro Area Countries at Times of Crisis: Differences Between SEE and CEE Countries," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 17(2), pages 175-191.
    • Handle: RePEc:seb:journl:v:17:y:2019:i:2:p:175-191
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business Cycle Synchronisation; Determinants; Central; Eastern and South-Eastern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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