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A Framework for Speculating about Future Urban Growth Patterns in the US

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  • Benjamin Chinitz

    (Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, 113 Brattle Street, Cambridge, MA 02138. USA)

Abstract

This article undertakes a formalised speculation about the ways in which patterns of urban development in the US may exacerbate or relieve the manifold problems of the declining central city and the growth problems of the suburbs. To this end, it defines an appropriate conceptual framework, and examines certain evidence about post-war trends in urban development. Urban patterns are seen as being shaped by certain entities (which we have called 'Locators') making location choices, in which they assess disparities in the circumstances of alternative places relating to the needs and goals of the Locator. We give special attention to the issue of the relative accessibility of alternative places. Although the major focus, because of data limitations, is on city versus suburb, we also offer some evidence and some speculations about development trends within the suburbs. The key questions for the future are defined as follows: how will the mix of Locators and their requirements change; how will place disparities change; and how will the relative accessibility of places change?

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Chinitz, 1991. "A Framework for Speculating about Future Urban Growth Patterns in the US," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 28(6), pages 939-959, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:28:y:1991:i:6:p:939-959
    DOI: 10.1080/00420989120081141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. George J. Borjas, 1992. "National Origin and the Skills of Immigrants in the Postwar Period," NBER Chapters, in: Immigration and the Work Force: Economic Consequences for the United States and Source Areas, pages 17-48, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Robert C. Wood, 1991. "People versus Places: The Dream will Never Die," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 5(2), pages 99-103, May.
    3. Cervero, Robert, 1989. "Jobs-Housing Balancing and Regional Mobility," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt7mx3k73h, University of California Transportation Center.
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    Cited by:

    1. David Levinson & Ajay Kumar, 1995. "Activity, Travel, and the Allocation of Time," Working Papers 199505, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group.

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