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Covariates of Repeat Tourism: An Endogenous Switching Poisson Model

Author

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  • A. George Assaf

    (Isenberg School of Management, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, MA 01003, USA)

  • Carlos Pestana Barros

    (Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Technical University of Lisbon; Rua Miguel Lupi 20, 1249–078 Lisbon, Portugal, and UECE (Research Unit on Complexity and Economics), Lisbon, Portugal)

  • Luiz Pinto Machado

    (Escola Profissional de Hotelaria e Turismo, Madeira, Portugal)

Abstract

This paper introduces the endogenous switching Poisson model to analyse the underlying reasons behind repeat visitation to Madeira Island. The advantage of the model is that it allows for both unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity in the covariates. Using data gathered by questionnaire, the authors confirm that the overall fit of the model is good and outperforms other related count data models. From the model estimation it is clear that the number of visits to Madeira Island is supported by multiple variables such as destination attributes, hotel facilities and travel cost, tourist motivation and tourist satisfaction. The related policy implications are derived.

Suggested Citation

  • A. George Assaf & Carlos Pestana Barros & Luiz Pinto Machado, 2013. "Covariates of Repeat Tourism: An Endogenous Switching Poisson Model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 19(3), pages 531-542, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:19:y:2013:i:3:p:531-542
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2013.0296
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Francisco Ledesma & Manuel Navarro & Jorge Perez-Rodriguez, 2005. "Return to tourist destination. Is it reputation, after all?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(18), pages 2055-2065.
    2. Dominic Moran & Esmond Tresidder & Alistair McVittie, 2006. "Estimating the Recreational Value of Mountain Biking Sites in Scotland Using Count Data Models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 12(1), pages 123-135, March.
    3. Rainer Winkelmann, 2008. "Econometric Analysis of Count Data," Springer Books, Springer, edition 0, number 978-3-540-78389-3, January.
    4. Terza, Joseph V., 1998. "Estimating count data models with endogenous switching: Sample selection and endogenous treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 129-154, May.
    5. António Almeida & Antónia Correia, 2010. "Tourism Development in Madeira: An Analysis Based on the Life Cycle Approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(2), pages 427-441, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jarvis, Diane & Stoeckl, Natalie & Liu, Hong-Bo, 2016. "The impact of economic, social and environmental factors on trip satisfaction and the likelihood of visitors returning," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-18.

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