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Tobit Models in Social Science Research

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  • Douglas A. Smith
  • Robert Brame

Abstract

The use of tobit models to study censored and limited dependent variables has become increasingly common in applied social science research over the past two decades. Importantly, the likelihood function for a tobit model involves two distinct components: (1) the process that determines whether the outcome variable is fully observed or not and (2) the process that determines the score on the dependent variable for individuals whose outcome is fully observed. One limitation of the tobit model is its assumption that the processes in both regimes of the outcome are equal up to a constant of proportionality. In this article, the authors use Monte Carlo simulation evidence and an empirical example to illustrate the restrictive nature of this assumption and the consequences of disproportionality for the tobit model. They conclude that an alternative model proposed by Cragg should replace the tobit model as the estimator of first resort in situations such as those considered here.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas A. Smith & Robert Brame, 2003. "Tobit Models in Social Science Research," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 31(3), pages 364-388, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:somere:v:31:y:2003:i:3:p:364-388
    DOI: 10.1177/0049124102239080
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "A Theory of Extramarital Affairs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(1), pages 45-61, February.
    2. Cragg, John G, 1971. "Some Statistical Models for Limited Dependent Variables with Application to the Demand for Durable Goods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 39(5), pages 829-844, September.
    3. Lin, Tsai-Fen & Schmidt, Peter, 1984. "A Test of the Tobit Specification against an Alternative Suggested by Cragg," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 66(1), pages 174-177, February.
    4. Ann Dryden Witte, 1980. "Estimating the Economic Model of Crime With Individual Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 94(1), pages 57-84.
    5. Reece, William S, 1979. "Charitable Contributions: New Evidence on Household Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(1), pages 142-151, March.
    6. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1984. "Tobit models: A survey," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 3-61.
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