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Optimal block replacement based on expert judgement method

Author

Listed:
  • Somayyeh Shahraki Dehsoukhteh
  • Mostafa Razmkhah
  • Bruno Castanier

Abstract

Applying the theory of uncertainty is a good approach to study the reliability of a system when there is a little frequency of suitable data. Based on this theory, the policy of block replacement with minimal repair is considered assuming the system lifetime follows a power law process. The unknown parameters are estimated according to evidence theory that affects the epistemic uncertainty. The Dempster-Shafer as well as Yager rules are applied to aggregate the judgements and mental estimates of two or more experts. After determining the unknown parameters, a judgement interval is derived for the optimal replacement time using the long-run cost criterion.

Suggested Citation

  • Somayyeh Shahraki Dehsoukhteh & Mostafa Razmkhah & Bruno Castanier, 2024. "Optimal block replacement based on expert judgement method," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 238(3), pages 591-603, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:238:y:2024:i:3:p:591-603
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X231159703
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    References listed on IDEAS

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