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Simulation-based dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of an internal flooding-initiated accident in nuclear power plant using THALES2 and RAPID

Author

Listed:
  • Kotaro Kubo
  • Xiaoyu Zheng
  • Yoichi Tanaka
  • Hitoshi Tamaki
  • Tomoyuki Sugiyama
  • Sunghyon Jang
  • Takashi Takata
  • Akira Yamaguchi

Abstract

Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is a method used to assess the risks associated with large and complex systems. However, the timing at which nuclear power plant structures, systems, and components are damaged is difficult to handle explicitly if the risk of an external event is evaluated using conventional PRA based on event trees and fault trees. A methodology coupling thermal-hydraulic analysis with external event simulations using Risk Assessment with Plant Interactive Dynamics (RAPID) is therefore proposed to overcome this limitation. A flood propagation model based on Bernoulli’s theorem was applied to represent internal flooding in the turbine building of the pressurized water reactor. Uncertainties were also taken into account, including the flow rate of the floodwater source and the failure criteria for the mitigation systems. The simulated recovery actions included the operator isolating the floodwater source and using a drainage pump; these actions were modeled using several simplifications. Overall, the results indicate that combining isolation and drainage can reduce the conditional core damage probability upon the occurrence of flooding by approximately 90%.

Suggested Citation

  • Kotaro Kubo & Xiaoyu Zheng & Yoichi Tanaka & Hitoshi Tamaki & Tomoyuki Sugiyama & Sunghyon Jang & Takashi Takata & Akira Yamaguchi, 2023. "Simulation-based dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of an internal flooding-initiated accident in nuclear power plant using THALES2 and RAPID," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 237(5), pages 947-957, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:237:y:2023:i:5:p:947-957
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X221091604
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rebollo, M.J. & Queral, C. & Jimenez, G. & Gomez-Magan, J. & Meléndez, E. & Sanchez-Perea, M., 2016. "Evaluation of the offsite dose contribution to the global risk in a Steam Generator Tube Rupture scenario," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 32-48.
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