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A Multivariate Approach to the Growth of Governments

Author

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  • Gabriella Legrenzi

    (Brunel University)

  • Costas Milas

    (Brunel University, Costas.Milas@brunel.ac.uk)

Abstract

The Italian general government expenditure is empirically modeled by considering demand-side, supply-side, and institutional factors. The authors estimate a long-run relationship with government expenditure driven by the demand-side and supply-side effects of domestic income and bureaucratic power, respectively, as well as by an institutional factor, namely, the decentralization of public expenditure. The disequilibrium error positively affects income growth and local spending, implying that when government expenditure is above its equilibrium level, both economic growth and local governments benefit. However, tighter government spending within the European Monetary Union environment suggests that local governments will have to become more efficient to find additional resources for their financing.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriella Legrenzi & Costas Milas, 2002. "A Multivariate Approach to the Growth of Governments," Public Finance Review, , vol. 30(1), pages 56-76, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:pubfin:v:30:y:2002:i:1:p:56-76
    DOI: 10.1177/109114210203000104
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    Cited by:

    1. Legrenzi, G. & Milas, C., 2004. "Non-linear adjustments in fiscal policy," Working Papers 04/06, Department of Economics, City University London.
    2. Gerrit B. Koester & Christoph Priesmeier, 2013. "Does Wagner´s Law Ruin the Sustainability of German Public Finances?," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 69(3), pages 256-288, September.
    3. Manuel Ja n-Garc a, 2017. "A Demand Determinants Model for Public Spending in Spain," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 372-386.
    4. Asuman Oktayer & Nagihan Oktayer, 2013. "Testing Wagner's Law for Turkey: Evidence from a Trivariate Causality Analysis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(2), pages 284-301.
    5. Gabriella Legrenzi & Costas Milas, 2002. "The Role of Omitted Variables in Identifying a Long-run Equilibrium Relationship for the Italian Government Growth," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 435-449, August.

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