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Valued-Added Tax Revenues in Mexico: An Empirical Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • José A. Tijerina-Guajardo

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

  • José A. Pagán

    (University of Texas-Pan American)

Abstract

This article analyzes the effect of changes in the valued-added tax (VAT) rate on real VAT revenue in Mexico. Recently, there has been a heated debate on the optimal VAT system and the potential economic impact of a reduction in the VAT rate in the country. The results from estimating a VAT revenue model suggest that there seems to be a positive relationship between VAT revenue and the tax rate around the actual VAT rate, contrary to the assertion that there is a Laffer curve for the VAT in Mexico. A 1 percentage point change in the VAT rate results in a 2.4% change in real VAT revenues. Leaving aside other fiscal reform considerations, the results appear to be robust to alternative empirical specifications.

Suggested Citation

  • José A. Tijerina-Guajardo & José A. Pagán, 2000. "Valued-Added Tax Revenues in Mexico: An Empirical Analysis," Public Finance Review, , vol. 28(6), pages 561-575, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:pubfin:v:28:y:2000:i:6:p:561-575
    DOI: 10.1177/109114210002800604
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Aguirre, Carlos A. & Shome, Parthasarathi, 1988. "The Mexican Value-Added Tax (VAT): Methodology for Calculating the Base," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association, vol. 41(4), pages 543-54, December.
    6. Shome, Parthasarathi, 1999. "Taxation in Latin America: structural trends and impact of administration," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34658, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
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    Cited by:

    1. Fikri R. Arrachman & Riatu M. Qibthiyyah, 2018. "The Relationship of VAT Rate and Revenues in the Case of Informality," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 64, pages 73-96, Juni.

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