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Towards a General Model of Public Policy Outcomes

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  • Francis G. Castles
  • Vance Merrill

Abstract

This paper seeks to provide an initial formulation of a general model combining the main sequences of policy determination established in the comparative public policy outcomes literature. In Part I, two prior and crucial problems of explanation in this field are discussed: (1) that of making the analytical step from attributions of shared national characteristics to true explanatory variables and (2) that of adequate statistical modelling in a universe of discourse characterized by too many theories and not enough cases. Part II outlines a model of public policy outcomes, which combines demographic, political and economic sequences, and utilizes the process of model elaboration and the associated findings as a means of assessing the extent to which the explanatory problems in the field can presently be resolved.

Suggested Citation

  • Francis G. Castles & Vance Merrill, 1989. "Towards a General Model of Public Policy Outcomes," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 1(2), pages 177-212, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jothpo:v:1:y:1989:i:2:p:177-212
    DOI: 10.1177/0951692889001002004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hibbs, Douglas A., 1977. "Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 71(4), pages 1467-1487, December.
    2. Cameron, David R., 1978. "The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 72(4), pages 1243-1261, December.
    3. repec:bla:revinw:v:30:y:1984:i:2:p:207-62 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Robert Summers & Alan Heston, 1984. "Improved International Comparisons Of Real Product And Its Composition: 1950–1980," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 30(2), pages 207-219, June.
    5. Timothy Smeeding & Barbara Torrey & Martin Rein, 1987. "Patterns of Income and Poverty: The Economic Status of the Young and the Old in Eight Countries," LIS Working papers 8, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    6. Therborn, Goran, 1987. "Does Corporatism Really Matter? The economic crisis and issues of political theory," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(3), pages 259-284, July.
    7. Michael Bruno & Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1985. "Economics of Worldwide Stagflation," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number brun85-1.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hood, Christopher, 1995. "The "new public management" in the 1980s: Variations on a theme," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 20(2-3), pages 93-109.

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