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Civil Society and the Democratic Peace

Author

Listed:
  • HÃ¥vard Hegre
  • Michael Bernhard
  • Jan Teorell

Abstract

We theorize that three distinct structures of democratic constraint explain why more democratic dyads do not engage in military conflict with each other. We build on earlier theories that focused on electoral and horizontal accountability. We add a new dimension—the social accountability provided by an active civil society. Using several new measures from the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) data set, we stringently test these explanations. We find social accountability to be the strongest and most consistent predictor of nonbelligerence in dyads, that horizontal accountability is still important, but that the independent role of electoral accountability has been somewhat overstated. However, we do find that social and electoral accountability work strongly together, to make for an even greater effect. The finding is robust to a range of specifications and in the face of controls for contending theories that challenge the democratic peace (e.g., the capitalist and territorial peace theories).

Suggested Citation

  • HÃ¥vard Hegre & Michael Bernhard & Jan Teorell, 2020. "Civil Society and the Democratic Peace," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 64(1), pages 32-62, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:64:y:2020:i:1:p:32-62
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002719850620
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bennet A. Zelner, 2009. "Using simulation to interpret results from logit, probit, and other nonlinear models," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(12), pages 1335-1348, December.
    2. Schultz, Kenneth A., 1999. "Do Democratic Institutions Constrain or Inform? Contrasting Two Institutional Perspectives on Democracy and War," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(2), pages 233-266, April.
    3. McDonald, Patrick J., 2015. "Great Powers, Hierarchy, and Endogenous Regimes: Rethinking the Domestic Causes of Peace," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(3), pages 557-588, July.
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    3. Rotte, Ralph, 2024. "Neue Reaktortechnologien, strategische Deglobalisierung und "Tech Wars": Kontraproduktive Folgen für das nukleare Nonproliferations- und Verifikationsregime?," SocArXiv 45wh7, Center for Open Science.

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