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Civil Conflicts Abroad, Foreign Fighters, and Terrorism at Home

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  • Alex Braithwaite
  • Tiffany S. Chu

Abstract

Terrorist attacks in Brussels (May 2014) and Paris (January and November 2015) highlight the threat related to the arrival of foreign fighters (FFs) from civil wars elsewhere. We develop an argument suggesting that terrorism at home is systematically affected by the exit of the so-called FFs out of civil wars abroad. We contend that foreign civil conflicts ending in success for rebel groups can result in a surplus of well-trained FFs, increasing the risk of terrorism at home. By contrast, when rebel groups are defeated in foreign civil conflicts, we anticipate a restriction in the flow of FFs, which reduces the likelihood of terrorism at home. Empirical analyses on most countries for the years 1970 to 2006 support these hypotheses. Our tests also demonstrate that the flow of FFs is associated with the creation of new terrorism campaigns rather than the exacerbation of existing operations.

Suggested Citation

  • Alex Braithwaite & Tiffany S. Chu, 2018. "Civil Conflicts Abroad, Foreign Fighters, and Terrorism at Home," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(8), pages 1636-1660, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:62:y:2018:i:8:p:1636-1660
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002717707304
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hegghammer, Thomas, 2013. "Should I Stay or Should I Go? Explaining Variation in Western Jihadists' Choice between Domestic and Foreign Fighting," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 107(1), pages 1-15, February.
    2. Matthew C. Wilson & James A. Piazza, 2013. "Autocracies and Terrorism: Conditioning Effects of Authoritarian Regime Type on Terrorist Attacks," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 57(4), pages 941-955, October.
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    4. Paul Collier & V. L. Elliott & Håvard Hegre & Anke Hoeffler & Marta Reynal-Querol & Nicholas Sambanis, 2003. "Breaking the Conflict Trap : Civil War and Development Policy," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13938.
    5. Horowitz, Michael C., 2010. "Nonstate Actors and the Diffusion of Innovations: The Case of Suicide Terrorism," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 64(1), pages 33-64, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Forrester, Andrew C. & Powell, Benjamin & Nowrasteh, Alex & Landgrave, Michelangelo, 2019. "Do immigrants import terrorism?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 529-543.

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