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Finding a Peace that Lasts

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  • Lindsay Reid

Abstract

How does leverage vary across different mediators? What influence does this variation have on mediation outcomes? Extant literature has equated mediation leverage with material power. Leverage, however, is context dependent and comprised of two dimensions: capability and credibility. Capability leverage is a function of economic resources and power, while credibility leverage derives influence from historical and cultural ties that bolster a mediator’s contextual knowledge of a conflict. I hypothesize that mediators with capability leverage are more likely to achieve short-term success, whereas mediators with credibility leverage generate more durable settlements. I quantitatively test the hypotheses using civil war mediation attempts from 1989 to 2006. I find that capability leverage does indeed contribute to the achievement of short-term success; credibility leverage, however, generates a more durable peace. The results demonstrate the importance of understanding mediation leverage as a context-dependent concept and highlight the potential long-term benefits of softer forms of mediation.

Suggested Citation

  • Lindsay Reid, 2017. "Finding a Peace that Lasts," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(7), pages 1401-1431, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:61:y:2017:i:7:p:1401-1431
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002715611231
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jacob Bercovitch & Scott Sigmund Gartner, 2006. "Empirical Studies in International Mediation," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 319-328, December.
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    5. Favretto, Katja, 2009. "Should Peacemakers Take Sides? Major Power Mediation, Coercion, and Bias," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 103(2), pages 248-263, May.
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