Traditional Decision Analysis and the Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign Policy Decision Making
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1177/0022002703261053
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Tversky, Amos & Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. "Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 297-323, October.
- Friedman, Daniel, 1998. "Monty Hall's Three Doors: Construction and Deconstruction of a Choice Anomaly," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(4), pages 933-946, September.
- William Harbaugh & Kate Krause & Lise Vesterlund, 2002.
"Risk Attitudes of Children and Adults: Choices Over Small and Large Probability Gains and Losses,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 5(1), pages 53-84, June.
- William T. Harbaugh & Kate Krause & Lise Vesterlund, 1999. "Risk attitudes of children and adults: choices over small and large probability gains and losses," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 1999-2, University of Oregon Economics Department.
- William Harbaugh & Kate Krause & Lise Vesterlund, 2002. "Risk attitudes of children and adults: Choices over small and large probability gains and losses," Artefactual Field Experiments 00055, The Field Experiments Website.
- Matthew Rabin, 1998.
"Psychology and Economics,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 11-46, March.
- Matthew Rabin., 1997. "Psychology and Economics," Economics Working Papers 97-251, University of California at Berkeley.
- Rabin, Matthew, 1997. "Psychology and Economics," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt8jd5z5j2, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013.
"Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Kahneman, Daniel & Tversky, Amos, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 263-291, March.
- Amos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Levine's Working Paper Archive 7656, David K. Levine.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Carlson Lisa J. & Dacey Raymond, 2016. "A Note on a Methodological Issue Pertaining to the Empirical Specification of the Probability of Crisis Initiation," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 97-104, January.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Satakhun Kosavinta & Donyaprueth Krairit & Do Ba Khang, 2017. "Decision making in the pre-development stage of residential development," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(2), pages 160-183, March.
- Stefano DellaVigna, 2009.
"Psychology and Economics: Evidence from the Field,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 315-372, June.
- Stefano DellaVigna, 2007. "Psychology and Economics: Evidence from the Field," NBER Working Papers 13420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Diecidue, E. & Wakker, P.P. & Zeelenberg, M., 2007. "Eliciting decision weights by adapting de Finetti's betting-odds method to prospect theory," Other publications TiSEM ac35645a-7772-46fe-ba31-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Heutel, Garth, 2019.
"Prospect theory and energy efficiency,"
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 236-254.
- Garth Heutel, 2017. "Prospect Theory and Energy Efficiency," NBER Working Papers 23692, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Egil Matsen & Bjarne Strøm, 2006.
"Joker: Choice in a simple game with large stakes,"
Working Paper Series
8307, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
- Egil Matsen & Bjarne Strom, 2006. "Joker: Choice in a simple game with large stakes," Natural Field Experiments 00236, The Field Experiments Website.
- Auriol, Emmanuelle & Mesnard, Alice & Perrault, Tiffanie, 2023.
"Weeding out the dealers? The economics of cannabis legalization,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 62-101.
- Emmanuelle Auriol & Alice Mesnard & Tiffanie Perrault, 2020. "Weeding out the Dealers? The Economics of Cannabis Legalization," CESifo Working Paper Series 8645, CESifo.
- Auriol, Emmanuelle & Mesnard, Alice & Perrault, Tiffanie, 2023. "Weeding out the Dealers? The Economics of Cannabis Legalization," TSE Working Papers 23-1475, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Emmanuelle Auriol & Alice Mesnard & Tiffanie Perrault, 2023. "Weeding out the Dealers? The Economics of Cannabis Legalization," Post-Print hal-04234940, HAL.
- Nicolas Roux, 2008.
"The Attitude Toward Probabilities of Portfolio Managers : an Experimental Study,"
Post-Print
halshs-00344785, HAL.
- Nicolas Roux, 2008. "The Attitude Toward Probabilities of Portfolio Managers : an Experimental Study," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00344785, HAL.
- Nicolas Roux, 2008. "The attitude toward probabilities of portfolio managers: an experimental study," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne v08073, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Antoni Bosch-Domènech & Joaquim Silvestre, 2002.
"Reflections on gains and losses: A 2x2x7 experiment,"
Economics Working Papers
640, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Feb 2005.
- Antoni Bosch-Domènech & Joaquim Silvestre, 2003. "Reflections on Gains and Losses: A 2x2x7 Experiment," Working Papers 4, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Zan Yang & Shuping Wu, 2019. "Land acquisition outcome, developer risk attitude and land development timing," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 233-271, August.
- Andrea C. Hupman & Jay Simon, 2023. "The Legacy of Peter Fishburn: Foundational Work and Lasting Impact," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 1-15, March.
- Konstanting Lucks & Melanie Lührmann & Joachim K. Winter, 2017. "Peer effects in risky choices among adolescents," IFS Working Papers W17/16, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Enrico Diecidue & Peter Wakker & Marcel Zeelenberg, 2007.
"Eliciting decision weights by adapting de Finetti’s betting-odds method to prospect theory,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 179-199, June.
- Diecidue, E. & Wakker, P.P. & Zeelenberg, M., 2007. "Eliciting decision weights by adapting de Finetti's betting-odds method to prospect theory," Other publications TiSEM ac35645a-7772-46fe-ba31-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Jerry Anunrojwong & Krishnamurthy Iyer & David Lingenbrink, 2024.
"Persuading Risk-Conscious Agents: A Geometric Approach,"
Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 72(1), pages 151-166, January.
- Jerry Anunrojwong & Krishnamurthy Iyer & David Lingenbrink, 2022. "Persuading Risk-Conscious Agents: A Geometric Approach," Papers 2208.03758, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- P Brooks & H Zank, 2004. "Attitudes on Gain and Loss Lotteries: A Simple Experiment," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0402, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Eduard Marinov, 2017. "The 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 117-159.
- Döring Thomas, 2013. "John Maynard Keynes als Verhaltensökonom – illustriert anhand seiner Analyse des Versailler Vertrags / John Maynard Keynes as Behavioral Economist – Represented by his Analysis of the Treaty of Versai," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 64(1), pages 27-52, January.
- Jonathan Shalev, 2002.
"Loss Aversion and Bargaining,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 201-232, May.
- Jonathan Shalev, 1996. "Loss Aversion and Bargaining," Game Theory and Information 9606001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jul 1997.
- SHALEV, Jonathan, 1997. "Loss aversion and bargaining," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1997006, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Oliver, Adam, 2018. "Your money and your life: risk attitudes over gains and losses," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 88583, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- E. Elisabet Rutstrom & Glenn W. Harrison & Morten I. Lau, 2004. "Estimating Risk Attitudes in Denmark," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 201, Econometric Society.
- Nathalie Etchart-Vincent, 2009.
"Probability weighting and the ‘level’ and ‘spacing’ of outcomes: An experimental study over losses,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 45-63, August.
- Nathalie Etchart-Vincent, 2009. "Probability weighting and the 'level' and 'spacing' of outcomes: An experimental study over losses," Post-Print hal-00395876, HAL.
More about this item
Keywords
Decision analysis; poliheuristic theory; risk analysis;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:48:y:2004:i:1:p:38-55. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://pss.la.psu.edu/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.