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Growth of International Exports among the States: Can a Modified Shift-Share Analysis Explain it?

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  • Ricardo C. Gazel

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 925 Grand Boulevard, Kansas City, MO 64198-0001 USA, rgazel@frbkc.org)

  • R. Keith Schwer

    (Center for Business and Economic Research, University of Nevada at Las Vegas 4505 Maryland Parkway, Box 456002, Las Vegas, NE 89154-2023 USA, schwer@nevada.edu)

Abstract

This paper develops a modified shift-share model for foreign exports of states. We identify the sectoral mix as a proxy for supply conditions and the relative mix of foreign markets as a proxy for demand conditions. We measure the relative importance of both demand and supply factors using the MISER data set. The results suggest that demand conditions are as important, if not more so, than supply conditions in explaining recent foreign export among states.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo C. Gazel & R. Keith Schwer, 1998. "Growth of International Exports among the States: Can a Modified Shift-Share Analysis Explain it?," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 21(2), pages 185-204, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:21:y:1998:i:2:p:185-204
    DOI: 10.1177/016001769802100205
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Balassa, Bela, 1979. "The Changing Pattern of Comparative Advantage in Manufactured Goods," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 61(2), pages 259-266, May.
    2. Ricardo Gazel & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings & Michael Sonis, 1996. "Trade, Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Interregional Impacts of the US-Canada Free Trade Agreement," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Jeroen C. J. M. Bergh & Peter Nijkamp & Piet Rietveld (ed.), Recent Advances in Spatial Equilibrium Modelling, chapter 14, pages 278-300, Springer.
    3. Laura D'Andrea Tyson, 1992. "Who's Bashing Whom? Trade Conflict in High-Technology Industries," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 86, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Angela Cheptea & Lionel Fontagné & Soledad Zignago, 2014. "European export performance," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 150(1), pages 25-58, February.
    2. Robin Leichenko & Julie Silva, 2004. "International Trade, Employment and Earnings: Evidence from US Rural Counties," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 355-374.
    3. Cheptea, Angela, 2011. "Who Gains and Who Loses from China's Growth?," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114299, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Demir Firat & Wu Chen, 2017. "Exchange Rate Adjustments and US Trade with China: What does a State Level Analysis Tell Us?," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-14, June.
    5. Cletus C. Coughlin & Patricia S. Pollard, 2001. "Comparing manufacturing export growth across states: what accounts for the differences?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 83(Jan), pages 25-40.
    6. Nilsson, Fredrik O.L. & Lindberg, Emma & Surry, Yves R., 2006. "Are the Mediterranean countries competitive in fresh fruit and vegetable exports?," 98th Seminar, June 29-July 2, 2006, Chania, Crete, Greece 10063, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Valente J. Matlaba & Mark Holmes & Philip McCann & Jacques Poot, 2014. "Classic and Spatial Shift-Share Analysis of State-Level Employment Change in Brazil," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Karima Kourtit & Peter Nijkamp & Robert Stimson (ed.), Applied Regional Growth and Innovation Models, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 139-172, Springer.
    8. Angela Cheptea & Guillaume Gaulier & Soledad Zignago, 2004. "The World Market: Market Shares and Export Performances," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 231.
    9. Willem Johannes Maria Heijman & Cornelis Martijn Van der Heide & Raymond J.G.M. Florax & Marc E. Loman, 1998. "Regional Economic growth and accessibility: The case of the Netherlands," ERSA conference papers ersa98p436, European Regional Science Association.
    10. Piezas-Jerbi, Ninez & Nee, Coleman, 2009. "Market shares in the post-Uruguay round era: A closer look using shift-share analysis," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2009-14, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.

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