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An Analysis of the Sensitivity of Quasi-Experimental Net Impact Estimates of Ceta Programs

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  • Katherine P. Dickinson

    (SRI International)

  • Terry R. Johnson

    (Battelle)

  • Richard W. West

    (SRI International)

Abstract

This article examines the sensitivity of CETA net impact estimates to alternative methodological procedures to reconcile the diverse findings from various CETA studies that are based on the same basic data sets. Our results indicate that estimated net impacts are quite sensitive to whether individuals without recent labor market attachment are included in the comparison group and to how close to the date of enrollment one measures preprogram earnings. Also, impact estimates are quite sensitive to the choice of the estimation models used and to assumptions about the period in which the decision to enroll in CETA is made. However, net impact estimates are robust to the matching technique used. Our results indicate that the wide diversity of CETA net impact estimates reported in the literature can be explained by differences in the methodological procedures used.

Suggested Citation

  • Katherine P. Dickinson & Terry R. Johnson & Richard W. West, 1987. "An Analysis of the Sensitivity of Quasi-Experimental Net Impact Estimates of Ceta Programs," Evaluation Review, , vol. 11(4), pages 452-472, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:11:y:1987:i:4:p:452-472
    DOI: 10.1177/0193841X8701100404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lillard, Lee A & Willis, Robert J, 1978. "Dynamic Aspects of Earning Mobility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(5), pages 985-1012, September.
    2. Bassi, Laurie J, 1984. "Estimating the Effect of Training Programs with Non-Random Selection," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 66(1), pages 36-43, February.
    3. Ashenfelter, Orley & Card, David, 1985. "Using the Longitudinal Structure of Earnings to Estimate the Effect of Training Programs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 67(4), pages 648-660, November.
    4. Katherine P. Dickinson & Terry R. Johnson & Richard W. West, 1986. "An Analysis of the Impact of CETA Programs on Participants' Earnings," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 21(1), pages 64-91.
    5. Laurie J. Bassi, 1983. "The Effect of CETA on the Postprogram Earnings of Participants," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 18(4), pages 539-556.
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    Cited by:

    1. James J. Heckman & Jeffrey Smith, 2000. "The Sensitivity of Experimental Impact Estimates (Evidence from the National JTPA Study)," NBER Chapters, in: Youth Employment and Joblessness in Advanced Countries, pages 331-356, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. James J. Heckman & Jeffrey A. Smith, 1999. "The Pre-Program Earnings Dip and the Determinants of Participation in a Social Program: Implications for Simple Program Evaluation Strategies," NBER Working Papers 6983, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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