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A Demonstration That the Current Deconcentration of Population in the United States is a Clean Break with the Past

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  • D R Vining Jr
  • A Strauss

Abstract

An initial reaction among many observers of urban America to recently released data showing a net migration out of its metropolitan areas is that this phenomenon must reflect nothing more than an accelerated expansion of these areas beyond their conventionally defined borders. This paper tests this hypothesis by tracing out the behavior of the Hoover index for five levels of areal disaggregation in the US. In Statistical Geography , Duncan and his collaborators found that for the period 1900–1950 there was dispersal at the finest and coarsest grains of areal disaggregation (reflecting city—suburb and East—West dispersal, respectively) and concentration at intermediate grains (reflecting rural-urban migration). We find that, by 1970, dispersal was occurring at all levels of areal disaggregation. That is, using the county as our basic unit of analysis, and building up increasingly more aggregated regions based on these units, we are unable to find an increase in concentration at any level of areal aggregation. We conclude that dispersal is more than a statistical artifact of the way in which metropolitan areas are defined.

Suggested Citation

  • D R Vining Jr & A Strauss, 1977. "A Demonstration That the Current Deconcentration of Population in the United States is a Clean Break with the Past," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 9(7), pages 751-758, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:9:y:1977:i:7:p:751-758
    DOI: 10.1068/a090751
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Beale, Calvin L., 1975. "The Revival of Population Growth in Nonmetropolitan America," Miscellaneous Publications 329283, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Cécile Détang‐Dessendre & Florence Goffette‐Nagot & Virginie Piguet, 2008. "Life Cycle And Migration To Urban And Rural Areas: Estimation Of A Mixed Logit Model On French Data," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(4), pages 789-824, October.
    3. Cécile Détang-Dessendre & Florence Goffette-Nagot & Virginie Piguet, 2004. "Life-cycle position and migration to urban and rural areas: estimations of a mixed logit model on French data," Working Papers halshs-00180128, HAL.
    4. Daniel Lichter, 1985. "Racial concentration and segregation across U.S. counties, 1950–1980," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(4), pages 603-609, November.
    5. Daniel Lichter & Glenn Fuguitt, 1982. "The transition to nonmetropolitan population deconcentration," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 19(2), pages 211-221, May.
    6. Uzi Rebhun & Brown David, 2015. "Patterns and selectivities of urban/rural migration in Israel," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 33(5), pages 113-144.
    7. Xinxiang Chen & Guangqing Chi, 2012. "Natural Beauty, Money, and the Distribution of Talent: A Local-Level Panel Data Analysis," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 31(5), pages 665-681, October.
    8. Nijkamp, P., 1986. "Structural dynamics in cities," Serie Research Memoranda 0005, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.

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