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Reverse Impact Assessment Using a Regional Social Accounting Matrix

Author

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  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete

    (Departamento de Economía y Empresa, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Ctra. Utrera, km. 1, 41013-Sevilla, Spain)

  • Ferran Sancho

    (Department d'Economia, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193-Bellaterra, Spain)

Abstract

Unlike traditional impact analysis, that measures the influence of a sector, or a set of like sectors, on the overall economy, we present in this note a simple reverse procedure that attempts to quantify the impact of activity changes in the overall regional economy over a specific subset of firms. We apply the procedure to a specific enclave of the chemical and basic industry sectors, which has been and still is of special significance for the development of the region. Because we feel that interdependency effects should be adequately captured, we rely on a 1995 regional social accounting matrix (SAM) of Andalusia, Spain, to establish the empirical structural support for the analysis. We proceed by setting up a linear SAM model to obtain extended multipliers, then we decompose them in three categories of effects (direct, indirect, and induced) under different hypotheses about the classification of endogenous and exogenous sectors. The decomposed multipliers are then apportioned to measure and distinguish the effects on the economic enclave. The results are seen to be quite robust to the exogeneity assumptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ferran Sancho, 2004. "Reverse Impact Assessment Using a Regional Social Accounting Matrix," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 36(5), pages 937-945, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:937-945
    DOI: 10.1068/a36123
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael Sonis & Geoffrey Hewings & Sri Sulistyowati, 1997. "Block Structural Path Analysis: Applications to Structural Changes in the Indonesian Economy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 265-280.
    2. Defourny, Jacques & Thorbecke, Erik, 1984. "Structural Path Analysis and Multiplier Decomposition within a Social Accounting Matrix Framework," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 94(373), pages 111-136, March.
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    1. Psaltopoulos, Demetris & Balamou, Eudokia & Skuras, Dimitris & Ratinger, Tomas & Sieber, Stefan, 2011. "Modelling the impacts of CAP Pillar 1 and 2 measures on local economies in Europe: Testing a case study-based CGE-model approach," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 53-69, January.
    2. Sébastien Mary & Euan Phimister & Deborah Roberts & Fabien Santini, 2013. "Testing the sensitivity of CGE results: A Monte Carlo Filtering approach to an application to rural development policies in Aberdeenshire," JRC Research Reports JRC85290, Joint Research Centre.
    3. Benedetto Rocchi & Donato Romano & Gianluca Stefani, 2005. "Distributive impacts of alternative agricultural policies: A SAM-based analysis for Italy," Cahiers d'Economie et Sociologie Rurales, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 77, pages 85-112.
    4. Maria Llop, 2012. "The role of saving and investment in a SAM price model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 48(1), pages 339-357, February.
    5. Olivier Jacquet & Gilles Laferté, 2005. "Appropriation et identification des territoires du vin : la lutte entre grands et petits propriétaires du « Corton »," Cahiers d'Economie et Sociologie Rurales, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 76, pages 9-27.

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